Match Info

National League South - Round 32

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday


	Farnborough		Salisbury

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.5	2.98
	2.17	3.68	3.01
	2.14	3.8	2.95	Watch
	2.1	3.3	2.9
	2.2	3.66	2.93
	2.12	3.5	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.43)	3.57 ↑ (3.47)	2.96 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Farnborough
43.1%

Draw
25.8%

Salisbury
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

26.3%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

25.4%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Farnborough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Farnborough's performance.

Salisbury has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farnborough than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salisbury than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Farnborough - Salisbury Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Bingham R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 19 and 17)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Farnborough won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Farnborough will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Farnborough won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 0.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Farnborough won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Farnborough - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 37.61%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Farnborough
English National League South
06.12.25	Farnborough - Totton	4:2 ✺
29.11.25	Farnborough - Ebbsfleet United	1:1 ✺
25.11.25	Chippenham Town - Farnborough	2:2 ✺
22.11.25	Enfield Town - Farnborough	5:1 ✺
18.11.25	Slough Town - Farnborough	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTTLL
- Salisbury FC
English National League South
06.12.25	Salisbury - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Maidstone United - Salisbury	1:0 ✺
25.11.25	Salisbury - Maidenhead United	0:6 ✺
22.11.25	Salisbury - Chelmsford City	3:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Plymouth Parkway - Salisbury	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
21.10.25	Salisbury - Farnborough	1:0
21.01.25	Salisbury - Farnborough	0:0
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Salisbury - Farnborough	3:0
English National League South
07.09.24	Farnborough - Salisbury	3:1
English Southern League South Division
26.03.22	Salisbury - Farnborough	1:0
20.11.21	Farnborough - Salisbury	2:1
02.11.19	Farnborough - Salisbury	0:0

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