Match Info

National League South - Round 18

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Salisbury		Chelmsford City

	1	X	2
	3.55	3.35	1.95
	2.78	3.43	2.35	Watch
	3.82	3.51	1.91
	3.45	3.35	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↑ (2.77)	3.41 ↑ (3.33)	2.05 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Salisbury
27.3%

Draw
27.2%

Chelmsford City
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

27.6%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

28%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salisbury has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Salisbury's form might have worsened.

Chelmsford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chelmsford City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salisbury than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Salisbury, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chelmsford City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Salisbury - Chelmsford City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Coppin N. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
64', 2 - 0, Keeya J. ⚽,
79', 3 - 0, Hedges J. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 18 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salisbury won 1.

In recent matches, Salisbury has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Chelmsford is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Salisbury has had a series of away games.

Chelmsford might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Salisbury won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Salisbury won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Salisbury - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 33.13%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Chelmsford City - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.27%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salisbury FC
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Plymouth Parkway - Salisbury	4:3 ✺
English National League South
11.11.25	Enfield Town - Salisbury	1:2 ✺
08.11.25	Chesham United - Salisbury	0:1 ✺
04.11.25	Chippenham Town - Salisbury	2:2 ✺
01.11.25	Salisbury - Dorking Wanderers	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWWTL
- Chelmsford City
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Chelmsford City	1:0 penalties ✺
English National League South
10.11.25	Chelmsford City - Hornchurch	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Chelmsford City - Hampton & Richmond Borough	1:0 ✺
04.11.25	Tonbridge Angels - Chelmsford City	2:4 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Chelmsford City - Braintree Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
15.02.25	Salisbury - Chelmsford City	1:3
26.10.24	Chelmsford City - Salisbury	2:1
English FA Trophy
11.01.20	Chelmsford City - Salisbury	4:0
English National League South
04.05.13	Salisbury - Chelmsford City	2:0
30.04.13	Chelmsford City - Salisbury	1:0
08.12.12	Salisbury - Chelmsford City	3:2
01.09.12	Chelmsford City - Salisbury	2:1

Upcoming Matches