Match Info

Date: 27 December 2021, Monday


	Farnborough		Swindon Supermarine

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.9	5.25
	1.54	4	4.7
	1.5	4.65	5.55
	1.5	4	5.25
	1.48	4.45	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.52)	4.2 ↓ (4.33)	5.25 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Farnborough
60.8%

Draw
21.8%

Swindon Supermarine
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

21.4%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

12.7%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Farnborough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Swindon Supermarine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farnborough than the current prediction. (-24.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Farnborough that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Supermarine than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Swindon Supermarine could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Farnborough - Swindon Supermarine Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 15).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Swindon Supermarine have a series of home games.

In this match Farnborough is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Farnborough won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Farnborough won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Farnborough
English Southern League South Division
18.12.21	Farnborough - Metropolitan Police	1:2 ✺
11.12.21	Truro City - Farnborough	2:2 ✺
04.12.21	Farnborough - Merthyr Town	3:2 ✺
01.12.21	Harrow Borough - Farnborough	1:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
28.11.21	Kingstonian - Farnborough	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTWWL
- Swindon Supermarine
English Southern League South Division
18.12.21	Swindon Supermarine - Weston-super-Mare	2:1 ✺
04.12.21	Swindon Supermarine - Salisbury	2:1 ✺
27.11.21	Gosport Borough - Swindon Supermarine	1:3 ✺
23.11.21	Swindon Supermarine - Harrow Borough	3:4 ✺
20.11.21	Swindon Supermarine - Yate Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
30.08.21	Swindon Supermarine - Farnborough	5:2
19.09.20	Farnborough - Swindon Supermarine	1:3
22.02.20	Farnborough - Swindon Supermarine	0:1
12.10.19	Swindon Supermarine - Farnborough	3:2
05.01.19	Farnborough - Swindon Supermarine	2:1
16.10.18	Swindon Supermarine - Farnborough	4:2
English FA Cup
17.09.16	Swindon Supermarine - Farnborough	0:1

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