Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 32

Date: 11 February 2025, Tuesday


	Truro City		Farnborough

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.25	3.7
	1.84	3.39	4.38
	1.8	3.56	4.38	Watch
	2	3.25	3.6
	1.89	3.71	3.71
	1.88	3.25	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.7)	3.4 ↓ (3.66)	3.91 ↓ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Truro City
49.2%

Draw
27.2%

Farnborough
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

24.9%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

24.2%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Truro City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Farnborough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Truro City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farnborough than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Truro City - Farnborough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Kabia J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
83', 1 - 1, Stuttle J. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Truro won 1.

Recent matches Truro is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Farnborough is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Truro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Truro will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Truro won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:13 (average 1.9:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Truro won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:7 (average 2.5:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Truro City
English National League South
08.02.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Truro City	1:3 ✺
01.02.25	Truro City - Bath City	0:0 ✺
25.01.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Truro City	3:0 ✺
18.01.25	Truro City - Aveley	2:1 ✺
11.01.25	Eastbourne Borough - Truro City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTLWT
- Farnborough
English National League South
08.02.25	Farnborough - Chelmsford City	3:4 ✺
04.02.25	Farnborough - Chesham United	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Enfield Town - Farnborough	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Aveley - Farnborough	2:1 ✺
21.01.25	Salisbury - Farnborough	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
22.10.24	Farnborough - Truro City	1:1
17.02.24	Farnborough - Truro City	3:2
28.08.23	Truro City - Farnborough	3:1
English Southern League South Division
11.12.21	Truro City - Farnborough	2:2
02.10.21	Farnborough - Truro City	2:0
01.02.20	Truro City - Farnborough	2:1
31.08.19	Farnborough - Truro City	0:2

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