Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 37

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday


	Swindon Supermarine		Salisbury

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.5	1.88
	3.3	3.75	1.9
	3.21	3.99	1.93
	3.21	3.99	1.93
	3.33	3.44	1.98
	3.3	3.75	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (2.95)	3.74 ↑ (3.47)	1.92 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swindon Supermarine
28%

Draw
24.4%

Salisbury
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

26.2%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

26.2%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swindon Supermarine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Salisbury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Supermarine than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salisbury than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Swindon Supermarine - Salisbury Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
20', 1 - 0, Sims-Burgess D. ⚽,
24', 2 - 0, Fernandes M. ⚽,
30', 2 - 1, Penny R. ⚽,
35', 2 - 2, Coppin N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 2 - 3, Hedges J. ⚽,
90', 3 - 3, Turl S. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 16 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League South Division (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Swindon Supermarine won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Salisbury will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Swindon Supermarine won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Swindon Supermarine won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swindon Supermarine
English Southern League South Division
23.03.24	Hayes & Yeading United - Swindon Supermarine	2:2 ✺
16.03.24	Swindon Supermarine - Hendon	0:1 ✺
09.03.24	Swindon Supermarine - Plymouth Parkway	3:0 ✺
02.03.24	Swindon Supermarine - Tiverton Town	2:2 ✺
24.02.24	Hanwell Town - Swindon Supermarine	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TLWTW
- Salisbury FC
English Southern League South Division
23.03.24	Dorchester Town - Salisbury	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Salisbury - Merthyr Town	0:0 ✺
09.03.24	Salisbury - Chesham United	3:1 ✺
24.02.24	Salisbury - Didcot Town	2:2 ✺
17.02.24	Gosport Borough - Salisbury	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
15.08.23	Salisbury - Swindon Supermarine	3:2
07.01.23	Swindon Supermarine - Salisbury	1:0
27.08.22	Salisbury - Swindon Supermarine	2:1
04.12.21	Swindon Supermarine - Salisbury	2:1
25.09.21	Salisbury - Swindon Supermarine	4:2
18.01.20	Salisbury - Swindon Supermarine	0:2
24.08.19	Swindon Supermarine - Salisbury	2:2

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