Match Info

National League South - Round 25

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday


	Weston-super-Mare		Farnborough

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.75	4.55
	1.66	4	4.58	Watch
	1.67	3.5	4.6
	1.64	3.6	4.73
	1.64	3.66	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.62)	3.7 ↓ (3.92)	4.64 ↓ (4.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Weston-super-Mare
55.5%

Draw
24.8%

Farnborough
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

23.7%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

23.8%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Weston-super-Mare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Farnborough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Weston-super-Mare than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farnborough than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Weston super Mare - Farnborough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Coulson L. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
54', 2 - 0, Lewis E. ⚽,
65', 3 - 0, Coulson L. ⚽,
81', 3 - 1, Hadi A. ⚽,
86', 4 - 1, Coulson L. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 20).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Weston-super-Mare won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Weston-super-Mare is seen as the favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Weston-super-Mare won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:32. (average 1.4:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Weston-super-Mare won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 1.9:2.4).

Outrights of English National League South for now

Weston-super-Mare: 4.6% Farnborough: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Weston-super-Mare	10	5	2	3	18:10	8	17
18	Farnborough	9	3	2	4	8:13	-5	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Weston-super-Mare
English National League South
30.12.25	Weston-super-Mare - Salisbury	1:0 ✺
26.12.25	Torquay United - Weston-super-Mare	3:1 ✺
20.12.25	Weston-super-Mare - Chippenham Town	1:0 ✺
16.12.25	Dorking Wanderers - Weston-super-Mare	3:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Forest Green Rovers - Weston-super-Mare	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLWLL
- Farnborough
English National League South
30.12.25	Horsham - Farnborough	2:2 ✺
26.12.25	Farnborough - Hampton & Richmond Borough	0:2 ✺
20.12.25	Worthing - Farnborough	5:0 ✺
13.12.25	Farnborough - Salisbury	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Farnborough - Totton	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
25.08.25	Farnborough - Weston-super-Mare	1:3
01.03.25	Farnborough - Weston-super-Mare	2:1
23.11.24	Weston-super-Mare - Farnborough	4:3
26.03.24	Weston-super-Mare - Farnborough	0:3
English FA Cup
30.09.23	Farnborough - Weston-super-Mare	0:1
English National League South
26.08.23	Farnborough - Weston-super-Mare	3:0
English Southern League South Division
19.03.22	Farnborough - Weston-super-Mare	1:1

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