Match Info

National League South - Round 6

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday


	Tonbridge Angels		Farnborough

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.4	1.8
	3.85	3.45	1.85
	3.99	3.58	1.86
	4.22	3.42	1.83	Watch
	3.1	3.25	2.05
	3.86	3.5	1.86
	3.1	3.35	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.7 ↑ (3.23)	3.42 ↑ (3.4)	1.9 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tonbridge Angels
24.8%

Draw
26.8%

Farnborough
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

27.2%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

26.8%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tonbridge Angels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Farnborough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tonbridge Angels than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farnborough than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Tonbridge Angels - Farnborough Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tonbridge (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Simon E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
51', 1 - 1, Bingham R. ⚽,
65', 1 - 2, Poleon D. ⚽,
73', 2 - 2, Simon E. ⚽,
80', 2 - 3, Poleon D. ⚽,
86', 3 - 3, Pierrick B. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tonbridge won 2.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Farnborough will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Tonbridge won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:26. (average 1.5:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Tonbridge won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.5:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tonbridge Angels
English National League South
25.08.25	Dorking Wanderers - Tonbridge Angels	4:1 ✺
23.08.25	Tonbridge Angels - Chesham United	0:0 ✺
19.08.25	Dagenham & Redbridge - Tonbridge Angels	2:2 ✺
16.08.25	Totton - Tonbridge Angels	3:0 ✺
09.08.25	Tonbridge Angels - Slough Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTTLT
- Farnborough
English National League South
25.08.25	Farnborough - Weston-super-Mare	1:3 ✺
23.08.25	Hornchurch - Farnborough	3:1 ✺
20.08.25	Farnborough - Worthing	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Chesham United - Farnborough	3:2 ✺
09.08.25	Farnborough - Eastbourne Borough	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
05.04.25	Tonbridge Angels - Farnborough	1:4
26.08.24	Farnborough - Tonbridge Angels	0:2
01.04.24	Tonbridge Angels - Farnborough	1:2
24.10.23	Farnborough - Tonbridge Angels	4:1
25.04.23	Farnborough - Tonbridge Angels	1:2
13.09.22	Tonbridge Angels - Farnborough	2:1
English Isthmian League Premier Division
06.02.16	Farnborough - Tonbridge Angels	1:2

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