Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Play Offs - Final

Date: 4 May 2026, Monday


	Farnham Town		Gloucester City

	1	X	2
	2.42	3.3	2.52
	2.54	3.23	2.58
	2.57	3.33	2.63	Watch
	2.5	3	2.5
	2.48	3.22	2.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.02)	3.22 ↓ (4.21)	2.55 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Farnham Town
36.2%

Draw
28.2%

Gloucester City
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

22%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

21.3%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Farnham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Farnham Town's form might have worsened.

Gloucester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farnham Town than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Farnham Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Farnham Town - Gloucester City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Farnham (1.87) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Farnham (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (5 - 1)
48', 1 - 0, Sanders D. (Penalty Awarded),
62', 2 - 0, Clifford B. ⚽,
65', 3 - 0, Taylor B. ⚽,
70', 3 - 1, Simpson K. ⚽,
84', 4 - 1, Clifford B. ⚽,
90+6', 5 - 1, Clifford B. ⚽,

Preview

Farnham is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Gloucester has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Farnham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Farnham won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Farnham won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Outrights of English Southern League South Division for now

Farnham: 5.21%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Gloucester	9	1	4	4	12:17	-5	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Farnham Town
English Southern League South Division
29.04.26	Farnham Town - Berkhamsted	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Tiverton Town - Farnham Town	0:3 ✺
20.04.26	Taunton Town - Farnham Town	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Farnham Town - Berkhamsted	1:0 ✺
16.04.26	Hanwell Town - Farnham Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLWT
- Gloucester City
English Southern League South Division
29.04.26	Gloucester City - Poole Town	3:2 ET ✺
25.04.26	Gloucester City - Walton & Hersham	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Yate Town - Gloucester City	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Dorchester Town - Gloucester City	0:5 ✺
06.04.26	Gloucester City - Taunton Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
25.11.25	Gloucester City - Farnham Town	1:2
23.09.25	Farnham Town - Gloucester City	3:3

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