Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 41

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Yate Town		Gloucester City

	1	X	2
	2.92	3.45	2.08
	2.89	3.58	2.15
	2.92	3.86	2.13	Watch
	2.9	3.3	2.05
	3.05	3.6	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↓ (3.6)	3.56 ↓ (3.78)	2.09 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yate Town
30.9%

Draw
25.5%

Gloucester City
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

23.9%

51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

22.9%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yate Town's performance.

Gloucester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gloucester City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yate Town than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yate Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gloucester City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Yate Town - Gloucester City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Waite J. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Jackson M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+6', 2 - 1, Guest J. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 16 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: )).

Gloucester is Qualified for Southern League Premier South (Play Offs )

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Gloucester could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Yate won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:11. (average 0.5:2.8).

Including home match between the teams, Yate won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Yate Town	9	3	3	3	13:18	-5	12
19	Gloucester	9	1	4	4	12:17	-5	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yate Town
English Southern League South Division
11.04.26	Gosport Borough - Yate Town	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Yate Town - Evesham United	3:0 ✺
03.04.26	Chertsey Town - Yate Town	2:2 ✺
28.03.26	Yate Town - Hanwell Town	2:0 ✺
24.03.26	Yate Town - Poole Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWTWT
- Gloucester City
English Southern League South Division
11.04.26	Dorchester Town - Gloucester City	0:5 ✺
06.04.26	Gloucester City - Taunton Town	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Hanwell Town - Gloucester City	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Gloucester City - Plymouth Parkway	3:0 ✺
24.03.26	Tiverton Town - Gloucester City	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
05.12.25	Gloucester City - Yate Town	1:0
Club Friendly
19.07.24	Gloucester City - Yate Town	1:0
English FA Cup
16.10.13	Gloucester City - Yate Town	7:0
12.10.13	Yate Town - Gloucester City	2:2

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