Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 24

Date: 23 December 2023, Saturday


	Farsley		Gloucester City

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.1	2.25
	3.1	3.25	2.2	Watch
	3.03	3.23	2.35
	3.03	3.23	2.35
	2.88	3.1	2.25
	2.92	3.24	2.32
	2.95	3.15	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (1.99)	3.19 ↓ (3.42)	2.29 ↓ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Farsley
31%

Draw
28.8%

Gloucester City
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

26.6%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

26.5%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Farsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Farsley's form might have worsened.

Gloucester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gloucester City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farsley than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Farsley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gloucester City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Farsley - Gloucester City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 14 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Farsley won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Farsley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Farsley won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Farsley won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Farsley AFC
English National League North
16.12.23	Banbury United - Farsley	1:1 ✺
12.12.23	Farsley - Curzon Ashton	2:1 ✺
25.11.23	Farsley - Hereford	0:0 ✺
21.11.23	Farsley - Spennymoor Town	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Farsley - Radcliffe	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWTTL
- Gloucester City
English National League North
19.12.23	Gloucester City - Curzon Ashton	3:0 ✺
16.12.23	Gloucester City - Darlington	0:1 ✺
12.12.23	Gloucester City - Peterborough Sports	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
09.12.23	Chippenham Town - Gloucester City	5:3 ✺
English National League North
25.11.23	Gloucester City - Spennymoor Town	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
09.09.23	Gloucester City - Farsley	0:1
22.04.23	Farsley - Gloucester City	2:1
22.10.22	Gloucester City - Farsley	5:1
12.02.22	Farsley - Gloucester City	1:2
13.11.21	Gloucester City - Farsley	2:0
28.11.20	Gloucester City - Farsley	1:2
09.03.20	Gloucester City - Farsley	2:1

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