Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 16

Date: 19 December 2023, Tuesday


	Gloucester City		Curzon Ashton

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.3	2.15
				Watch
	3.29	3.25	2.17
	3.01	3.55	2.2
	2.88	3.4	2.1
	2.96	3.54	2.17
	2.9	3.4	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↓ (3.38)	3.41 ↓ (3.42)	2.16 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gloucester City
30.8%

Draw
26.9%

Curzon Ashton
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

27.1%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

27%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gloucester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Curzon Ashton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curzon Ashton than the current prediction. (+3%)

Gloucester City - Curzon Ashton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gloucester won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Gloucester have a series of home games.

Curzon Ashton will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Gloucester won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Gloucester won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gloucester City
English National League North
16.12.23	Gloucester City - Darlington	0:1 ✺
12.12.23	Gloucester City - Peterborough Sports	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
09.12.23	Chippenham Town - Gloucester City	5:3 ✺
English National League North
25.11.23	Gloucester City - Spennymoor Town	4:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Gloucester City - Braintree Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LWLWW
- Curzon Ashton
English National League North
16.12.23	Curzon Ashton - Brackley Town	2:0 ✺
12.12.23	Farsley - Curzon Ashton	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
09.12.23	Curzon Ashton - Macclesfield Town	0:2 ✺
English National League North
25.11.23	Banbury United - Curzon Ashton	0:1 ✺
21.11.23	South Shields - Curzon Ashton	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
11.02.23	Curzon Ashton - Gloucester City	4:3
03.09.22	Gloucester City - Curzon Ashton	0:3
05.03.22	Curzon Ashton - Gloucester City	1:2
11.09.21	Gloucester City - Curzon Ashton	1:2
12.12.20	Curzon Ashton - Gloucester City	0:1
02.11.19	Gloucester City - Curzon Ashton	2:2
01.04.17	Curzon Ashton - Gloucester City	0:0

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