Match Info

ENGLAND: FA TROPHY - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 9 December 2023, Saturday


	Chippenham Town		Gloucester City

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.4	2.55
	2.35	3.6	2.65
	2.56	3.67	2.57
	2.56	3.67	2.45
	2.3	3.4	2.5
	2.52	3.52	2.5
	2.32	3.5	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (1.74)	3.54 ↓ (3.68)	2.55 ↓ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chippenham Town
38%

Draw
25.9%

Gloucester City
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

24.5%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

23.7%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chippenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chippenham Town's form might have worsened.

Gloucester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gloucester City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chippenham Town than the current prediction. (+15.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chippenham Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gloucester City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Chippenham Town - Gloucester City Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Chippenham will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Gloucester will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chippenham won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Gloucester could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Chippenham won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Chippenham won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chippenham Town
English National League South
05.12.23	Hemel Hempstead Town - Chippenham Town	0:2 ✺
02.12.23	Worthing - Chippenham Town	3:1 ✺
25.11.23	Chippenham Town - Hampton & Richmond Borough	1:2 ✺
21.11.23	Chippenham Town - Yeovil Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Chippenham Town - Basingstoke Town	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLLTW
- Gloucester City
English National League North
25.11.23	Gloucester City - Spennymoor Town	4:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Gloucester City - Braintree Town	3:0 ✺
English National League North
14.11.23	Brackley Town - Gloucester City	2:0 ✺
11.11.23	Scunthorpe United - Gloucester City	2:0 ✺
04.11.23	Gloucester City - Warrington Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
22.04.19	Gloucester City - Chippenham Town	3:2
15.09.18	Chippenham Town - Gloucester City	1:0
05.03.18	Gloucester City - Chippenham Town	1:0
05.09.17	Chippenham Town - Gloucester City	2:0
English FA Cup
20.10.12	Gloucester City - Chippenham Town	1:0

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