Match Info

ETHIOPIA: Premier League - Round 27

Date: 14 June 2024, Friday


	Fasil Kenema		Defence Force

	1	X	2
	2.93	3.08	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↓ (2.96)	3.08 ↑ (3.06)	2.33 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fasil Kenema
31.2%

Draw
29.6%

Defence Force
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

29.8%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

29.5%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fasil Kenema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Defence Force has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fasil Kenema than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defence Force than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Fasil Kenema - Defence Force Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Samake N. (G) 2. Awol M. 24. Eyayu A. 14. Fisseha Y. 19. Gugsa S. 9. Kebede G. (C) 6. Mamo E. 47. Mohamed H. 3. Solomon A. 27. Yigzaw A. 7. Zelalem K.	1. Alionzi N. (G) 5. Badu S. 18. Bekele S. 7. Desta B. 19. Disasa G. 20. Girma B. 34. Hailu N. 11. Mamo D. 8. Markneh C. 17. Mengistu Y. 14. Wondimu M. (C)
Substitutes
23. Alemu F. 49. Aweke D. 30. Ayeru M. (G) 20. Biruk A. 22. Derso Y. (G) 17. Endale A. 32. Fitsum D. 18. Gebregiorgis N. 12. Job M. 28. Masresha N. 33. Mulu J. 25. Shemsedin M.	23. Adane M. 10. Alemu F. 12. Dawiti Y. 24. Godana B. 29. Kebede Y. 4. Ketema D. 26. Mohammed I. 32. Mutalabu A. 13. Negsh A. 9. Saliso S. 30. Tefera D. (G) 44. Wondimu D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
85', 0 - 1, Mutalabu A. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fasil Kenema FC
Ethiopian Premier League
25.05.24	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Fasil Kenema	1:0 ✺
09.05.24	Fasil Kenema - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:0 ✺
04.05.24	Hadiya Hossana - Fasil Kenema	1:2 ✺
19.04.24	Fasil Kenema - Adama City	0:0 ✺
12.04.24	Fasil Kenema - Hambericho Durame	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTWTT
- Defence Force SC
Ethiopian Premier League
18.05.24	Hawassa City - Defence Force	2:3 ✺
05.05.24	Defence Force - Wolkite Kenema	3:1 ✺
21.04.24	Ethiopia Bunna - Defence Force	1:1 ✺
13.04.24	Defence Force - Ethiopian Medhin	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	Defence Force - Saint George	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
25.01.24	Defence Force - Fasil Kenema	0:0
16.04.23	Defence Force - Fasil Kenema	0:1
21.10.22	Fasil Kenema - Defence Force	0:1
18.05.22	Defence Force - Fasil Kenema	1:2
21.12.21	Fasil Kenema - Defence Force	1:0
25.01.17	Defence Force - Fasil Kenema	2:2

Fasil Kenema - Defence Force: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide