Match Info
Premier League - Round 20Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday
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Ethiopia Nigd Bank |
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Fasil Kenema |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
3.15 |
2.68 |
2.35 |
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3.22 |
2.79 |
2.39 |
 Watch |
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3.34 |
2.92 |
2.34 |
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3.2 |
2.71 |
2.45 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.23 ↑
(3.18) |
2.78 ↓
(2.8) |
2.38 ↓
(2.41) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
28.4% | Draw
33.1% | Fasil Kenema
38.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ethiopia Nigd Bank has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Fasil Kenema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethiopia Nigd Bank than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fasil Kenema than the current prediction. (-0.1%)Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Fasil Kenema Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 4).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ethiopia Nigd Bank won 2.Ethiopia Nigd Bank has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).In recent matches, Fasil Kenema has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).Ethiopia Nigd Bank may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Fasil Kenema could have a small edge in this match.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ethiopia Nigd Bank won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.6:1).Including home matches between the teams, Ethiopia Nigd Bank won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 0 | 55 |
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| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 0 | 47 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Fasil Kenema - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 38.19%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ethiopian Premier League | | | 19.10.25 | Fasil Kenema - Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 1:1 | | 18.05.25 | Fasil Kenema - Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 1:1 | | 24.10.24 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Fasil Kenema | 1:1 | | 25.05.24 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Fasil Kenema | 1:0 | | 16.02.24 | Fasil Kenema - Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 2:4 | | 26.04.17 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Fasil Kenema | 3:1 | | 10.01.17 | Fasil Kenema - Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 1:0 |
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