Match Info

ETHIOPIA: Premier League - Round 22

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday


	Ethiopia Bunna		Defence Force

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.9	3
	2.33	2.88	3.23
	2.33	2.89	3.23
	2.43	3.43	2.74
	2.27	2.95	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.41)	3.01 ↓ (3.18)	3.06 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethiopia Bunna
39.5%

Draw
30.5%

Defence Force
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

28.9%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

28.4%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethiopia Bunna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Defence Force has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethiopia Bunna than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defence Force than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bereket A. (C) 13. Admassu A. 30. Alemayehu B. 3. James R. 32. Mohammed K. 15. Nassir R. 17. Tafesse M. 19. Tefera A. 20. Wasswa G. 14. Worku A. 8. Yohannes A.	1. Alionzi N. (G) 18. Bekele S. 20. Girma B. 6. Hagos G. 34. Hailu N. 11. Mamo D. 8. Markneh C. 17. Mengistu Y. 13. Negsh A. 15. Tamene A. 14. Wondimu M. (C)
Substitutes
5. Abdulhafiz T. 29. Adeferes H. 25. Bahiru D. (G) 10. Beyene B. 4. Dereje W. 21. Getu W. 34. Mishamo T. (G) 9. Nasir M. 16. Shumbeza E. 7. Teshita C. 11. Tunjo A. 24. Yitagesu T.	23. Adane M. 10. Alemu F. 5. Badu S. 22. Chilio W. (G) 12. Dawiti Y. 7. Desta B. 19. Disasa G. 24. Godana B. 29. Kebede Y. 26. Mohammed I. 32. Mutalabu A. 9. Saliso S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Wondimu M. ⚽,
45+5', 1 - 1, Admassu A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ethiopia Bunna won 3.

Ethiopia Bunna is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Defence Force is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ethiopia Bunna could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Ethiopia Bunna won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Ethiopia Bunna won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethiopia Bunna
Ethiopian Premier League
14.04.24	Ethiopia Bunna - Adama City	0:1 ✺
05.04.24	Ethiopia Bunna - Hawassa City	3:2 ✺
28.03.24	Ethiopia Bunna - Fasil Kenema	1:1 ✺
14.03.24	Bahir Dar Kenema - Ethiopia Bunna	3:1 ✺
10.03.24	Ethiopia Bunna - Dire Dawa City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWTLL
- Defence Force SC
Ethiopian Premier League
13.04.24	Defence Force - Ethiopian Medhin	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	Defence Force - Saint George	0:0 ✺
28.03.24	Defence Force - Welayta Dicha	1:0 ✺
15.03.24	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Defence Force	0:2 ✺
07.03.24	Defence Force - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
08.02.24	Defence Force - Ethiopia Bunna	0:4
01.07.23	Ethiopia Bunna - Defence Force	2:1
19.02.23	Defence Force - Ethiopia Bunna	3:3
12.10.22	Defence Force - Ethiopia Bunna	1:2
29.04.22	Defence Force - Ethiopia Bunna	4:0
06.12.21	Ethiopia Bunna - Defence Force	1:0
05.03.17	Ethiopia Bunna - Defence Force	4:0

Ethiopia Bunna - Defence Force: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide