The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fatih Karagümrükspor 37.2%
Draw 30.2%
Bandırmaspor 32.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.7%
27.2%
29.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.6%
27.8%
28.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fatih Karagümrükspor's form might have worsened.
Bandırmaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fatih Karagümrükspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bandırmaspor than the current prediction. (-4%)
99. Beklevic F. (G) 23. Ulvan T. 4. Demir Y. E. 3. Djilobodji P. (C) 33. Kurukalip C. 35. Cankaya A. R. 14. Doh M. 7. Camacho J. 11. Johnson D. 19. Gurpuz G. 9. Wesley Moraes
16. Alkan A. (G) 77. Berisbek R. 23. Mexer 33. Nukan A. (C) 22. Bilgic H. 92. Mulumba R. 6. Ciftci H. 17. Ndongala D. 61. Akpinar M. 45. Messaoudi B. 9. Diony L.
Substitutes
1. Bilgin E. (G) 6. Dabanli B. 5. Demirol A. 10. Dovedan N. 15. Dursun S. 91. Gray A. 20. Mert M. 70. Serginho 17. Sivri A. 22. Tintis E.
10. Avci K. 21. Ayhan E. 99. Genc F. C. 1. Gorgen Z. (G) 11. Kaya I. 24. Komur E. 8. Louzif M. 41. Ozcan M. 29. Paixao M. 35. Picinciol S.
Coaches
Canel A.
Gursel M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Messaoudi B. 🟨,
28', Bilgic H. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Ciftci H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 1 - 1, Wesley Moraes ⚽,
56', Akpinar M. ↓, Ozcan M. ↑,
74', Camacho J. ↓, Serginho ↑,
77', Diony L. ↓, Paixao M. ↑,
77', Ndongala D. ↓, Kaya I. ↑,
87', Gurpuz G. 🟨,
89', Gurpuz G. ↓, Sivri A. ↑,
89', Johnson D. ↓, Dovedan N. ↑,
90+2', Ciftci H. ↓, Avci K. ↑,
Extra Time (2 - 0)
91', 2 - 1, Cankaya A. R. ⚽, Kurukalip C. (A),
97', Berisbek R. ↓, Picinciol S. ↑,
97', Bilgic H. ↓, Louzif M. ↑,
105', 3 - 1, Sivri A. ⚽, Dovedan N. (A),
105+2', Sivri A. 🟨,
108', Dovedan N. 🟨,
112', Mulumba R. 🟨,
113', Cankaya A. R. ↓, Dursun S. ↑,
115', Louzif M. 🟨,
120', Kurukalip C. ↓, Tintis E. ↑,
Preview
Karagümrük is Qualified for 1. Lig (Play Offs Final)
Bandırmaspor is Qualified for 1. Lig (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 3.
Recent performances by Karagümrük have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Bandırmaspor is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Karagümrük may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Karagümrük could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Karagümrük: Ersoy O.
(Inactive)
Gurpuz G.
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Bandırmaspor: Kesgin K.
(Injury)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.6:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Karagümrük won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 2.2:1.8).
Asia
Croatia
Slovenia
Turkey
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Beklevic F. (G) 
Djilobodji P. (C) 
Doh M. 
Camacho J. 
Johnson D. 
Wesley Moraes 
Mexer 
Mulumba R. 
Messaoudi B. 
Diony L. 
Dabanli B. 
Demirol A. 
Dovedan N. 
Mert M. 
Louzif M. 
