Match Info

Super Lig - Round 5

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Atatürk Olimpiyat (Istanbul)

Referee: Aksu O. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 3


	Fatih Karagümrükspor		Kasımpaşa

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.25	2.25	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.4
	3.15	3.11	2.35
	3	3.34	2.52
	11.39	4.49	1.33	Watch
	3.26	3.26	2.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.45 ↑ (2.86)	3.46 ↑ (3.37)	2.2 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fatih Karagümrükspor
23.2%

Draw
29.8%

Kasımpaşa
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

27.9%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fatih Karagümrükspor's form might have worsened.

Kasımpaşa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kasımpaşa's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kasımpaşa Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Karagümrük will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Karagümrük (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Grbic I. (G) 6. Cankaya A. R. (C) 32. Kadioglu M. 94. Cinar A. 29. Balkovec J. 47. Esgaio R. 8. Ozcan B. 11. Johnson D. 70. Serginho 72. Kalayci B. 21. Cukur T.	1. Gianniotis A. (G) 2. Winck C. 20. Opoku N. 41. Szalai At. 21. Frimpong G. 16. Baldursson A. F. 7. Fall M. 10. Hajradinovic H. (C) 6. Ustundag C. 12. Ben Ouanes M. 77. Gueye P.
Substitutes
16. Akgun T. 99. Beklevic F. (G) 34. Demirol A. 14. Doh M. 91. Gray A. 20. Kalpakli T. 33. Kurukalip C. 27. Ugrekhelidze N. 96. Yandal K. (G)	4. Arous A. 29. Aydin T. 8. Cafu 34. Diabate F. 72. Eratilla Y. 14. Espinoza J. 17. Kanatsizkus K. 11. Kol A. 5. Mujde A. 25. Yanar A. (G)
Coaches
Licka M.	Arveladze S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Gueye P. 🟨,
31', 0 - 1, Kadioglu M. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kadioglu M. ↓, Kalpakli T. ↑,
60', Winck C. ↓, Espinoza J. ↑,
64', Kalayci B. ↓, Gray A. ↑,
64', Ozcan B. ↓, Doh M. ↑,
65', Ustundag C. ↓, Cafu ↑,
76', Gueye P. 🟨,
80', Ben Ouanes M. ↓, Kol A. ↑,
80', Hajradinovic H. ↓, Mujde A. ↑,
82', Serginho ↓, Kurukalip C. ↑,
88', Cafu 🟨,
90+2', Gianniotis A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 2.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There are questionable in Karagümrük: Cinar A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Kasımpaşa: Winck C. (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:20. (average 2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Karagümrük won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 2.2:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fatih Karagümrükspor
Turkish Super League
30.08.25	Antalyaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:2 ✺
22.08.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Göztepe	0:2 ✺
15.08.25	Galatasaray - Fatih Karagümrükspor	3:0 ✺
Turkish First League
29.05.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Bandırmaspor	3:1 ET ✺
10.05.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Igdirspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLLWW
- Kasımpaşa
Turkish Super League
30.08.25	Kasımpaşa - Gaziantep	2:3 ✺
18.08.25	Kasımpaşa - Trabzonspor	0:1 ✺
09.08.25	Antalyaspor - Kasımpaşa	2:1 ✺
30.05.25	Kasımpaşa - Göztepe	1:2 ✺
24.05.25	Gaziantep - Kasımpaşa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
16.02.24	Kasımpaşa - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:1
01.10.23	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kasımpaşa	2:3
06.06.23	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kasımpaşa	3:0
15.01.23	Kasımpaşa - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:2
09.04.22	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kasımpaşa	3:2
21.11.21	Kasımpaşa - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:3
20.02.21	Kasımpaşa - Fatih Karagümrükspor	3:2

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