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Current Win Probability
Fatih Karagümrükspor 27.4%
Draw 30.1%
Kocaelispor 42.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.5%
29.4%
39.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.6%
30.4%
37.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
Kocaelispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fatih Karagümrükspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
46.2%
7.7%
46.2%
Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kocaelispor Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Karagümrük will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Kocaelispor will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Karagümrük: 19.1% – 73.3%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kocaelispor will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Grbic I. (G) 6. Cankaya A. R. (C) 33. Kurukalip C. 29. Balkovec J. 47. Esgaio R. 14. Doh M. 5. Kranevitter M. 11. Johnson D. 8. Ozcan B. 70. Serginho 19. Fofana D. D.
1. Jovanovic A. (G) 2. Dijksteel A. 5. Balogh B. 6. Smolcic H. 21. Haidara M. (C) 8. Keita H. 14. Show 7. Agyei D. 10. Linetty K. 75. Bingol T. 19. Dursun S.
Substitutes
94. Cinar A. 34. Demirol A. 24. Ersoy B. 91. Gray A. 32. Kadioglu M. 72. Kalayci B. 20. Kalpakli T. 17. Sivri A. 27. Ugrekhelidze N. 96. Yandal K. (G)
17. Churlinov D. 3. Cinan M. 35. Degirmenci G. (G) 18. Gedik F. 98. Nonge J. 9. Petkovic B. 99. Rivas R. 15. Serbest T. 34. Syrota O. 23. Yalcin S.
Coaches
Korkmaz O.
Inan S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Balogh B. 🟨,
35', Show 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', Serginho 🟨,
65', 1 - 0, Fofana D. D. ⚽, Johnson D. (A),
68', Dursun S. ↓, Petkovic B. ↑,
72', Balogh B. ↓, Rivas R. ↑,
72', Show ↓, Churlinov D. ↑,
75', Johnson D. 🟨,
79', Johnson D. ↓, Kalayci B. ↑,
85', Keita H. ↓, Gedik F. ↑,
87', Ozcan B. ↓, Cinar A. ↑,
90', Kranevitter M. ↓, Kalpakli T. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 1, Petkovic B. ⚽, Smolcic H. (A),
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 8).
In recent matches, Karagümrük has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Kocaelispor is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Kocaelispor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Kocaelispor will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Karagümrük: Beklevic F.
(Suspended)
Sivri A.
(Injury)
There will not play in Kocaelispor: Oguz A.
(Yellow Cards)
Wieteska M.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Karagümrük: Cukur T.
(Injury)
Larsson S.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Kocaelispor: Agyei D.
(Inactive)
Smolcic H.
(Injury)
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, Karagümrük won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Asia
Turkey
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Grbic I. (G) 
Cankaya A. R. (C) 
Balkovec J. 
Esgaio R. 
Doh M. 
Kranevitter M. 
Johnson D. 
Serginho 
Jovanovic A. (G) 
Dijksteel A. 
Balogh B. 
Haidara M. (C) 
Show 
Agyei D. 
Linetty K. 
Demirol A. 
Ugrekhelidze N. 
Churlinov D. 
Nonge J. 
Rivas R. 
Syrota O. 
