Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday


	Fatih Karagümrükspor		Petrolul Ploieşti

	1	X	2
	2.07	3.02	3.82	Watch
				Watch
	1.72	4	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.77)	3.51 ↓ (3.73)	4.01 ↑ (3.73)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fatih Karagümrükspor
49.7%

Draw
26.8%

Petrolul Ploieşti
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

20.4%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Petrolul Ploieşti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fatih Karagümrükspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petrolul Ploieşti than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Petrolul Ploieşti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	1. Balbarau R. (G)
	36. Botogan A. (C)
	9. Chica-Rosa A.
	42. Guilherme
	20. Hanca S.
	28. Hermann R.
	64. Marian B.
	8. Mateiu A.
	21. Paraschiv D.
	71. Prce F.
	55. Rodrigues D.
Substitutes
	. Costache M.
	5. Dongmo D.
	88. Dulca M.
	97. Dumitrache A.
	11. Gheorghe V.
	7. Grozav G.
	6. Jyry T.
	41. Krell S. (G)
	. Manolache R.
	25. Onguene J.
	4. Papp P.
	24. Ricardinho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Baris J. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Chica-Rosa A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 1 - 2, Chica-Rosa A. ⚽,

Preview

Karagümrük has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ploiesti's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Karagümrük may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Karagümrük is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fatih Karagümrükspor
Turkish Super League
21.12.25	Alanyaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
17.12.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - İstanbulspor	0:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
14.12.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kocaelispor	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Gençlerbirliği - Fatih Karagümrükspor	3:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
03.12.25	Erokspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTTLW
- Petrolul Ploieşti
Club Friendly
06.01.26	Gaziantep - Petrolul Ploieşti	1:1 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
21.12.25	Hermannstadt - Petrolul Ploieşti	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Petrolul Ploieşti - Universitatea Cluj	0:1 ✺
08.12.25	UTA Arad - Petrolul Ploieşti	1:0 ✺
Romanian Cup
04.12.25	Petrolul Ploieşti - Universitatea Craiova	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TTLLL

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