Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 23

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday


	Alverca B		Arronches Benfica

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.2	1.83
	2.6	2.9	2.65
	2.5	2.81	2.82
	2.6	2.9	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↓ (3.82)	2.95 ↓ (3.3)	2.49 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 10.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alverca B
32%

Draw
31.1%

Arronches Benfica
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

27.6%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

27.7%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alverca B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alverca B's performance.

Arronches Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arronches Benfica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alverca B than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alverca B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arronches Benfica than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arronches Benfica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alverca B - Arronches Benfica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).

Recent matches Alverca B is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Arronches Benfica in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Arronches Benfica is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alverca B won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alverca B
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
09.03.25	Elvas - Alverca B	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Alverca B - Fatima	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Pero Pinheiro - Alverca B	0:3 ✺
16.02.25	Pombal - Alverca B	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Alverca B - Sertanense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWTT
- Arronches Benfica
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
09.03.25	Arronches Benfica - Sertanense	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	União de Coimbra - Arronches Benfica	0:2 ✺
23.02.25	Arronches Benfica - Marinhense	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Peniche - Arronches Benfica	1:2 ✺
09.02.25	Arronches Benfica - SB Castelo Branco	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
30.11.24	Arronches Benfica - Alverca B	2:0

Upcoming Matches