Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 20

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday


	Fatima		Sertanense

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.7	6
	1.57	3.59	5.87
	1.5	3.84	5.81
	1.51	3.7	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.34)	3.71 ↓ (4.2)	5.92 ↓ (8.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fatima
60%

Draw
24.6%

Sertanense
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

21.6%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70%

20.9%

10.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fatima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fatima's form might have worsened.

Sertanense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatima than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fatima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sertanense than the current prediction. (-5%)

Fatima - Sertanense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, ⚽,
22', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
69', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Fatima in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Sertanense is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Fatima is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Fatima to win the game is with odds 1.34.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Fatima won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 0.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Fatima won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Fatima
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
16.02.25	União de Coimbra - Fatima	1:2 ✺
09.02.25	Fatima - Marinhense	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Peniche - Fatima	0:1 ✺
26.01.25	Fatima - SB Castelo Branco	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	Alcains - Fatima	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WWWWW
- Sertanense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
16.02.25	Sertanense - Pero Pinheiro	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Alverca B - Sertanense	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Pombal - Sertanense	0:2 ✺
26.01.25	Sertanense - União de Coimbra	0:2 ✺
19.01.25	Marinhense - Sertanense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
27.10.24	Sertanense - Fatima	0:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
24.02.20	Sertanense - Fatima	1:0
27.01.19	Sertanense - Fatima	0:0
19.08.18	Fatima - Sertanense	1:1

Fatima - Sertanense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide