Match Info

Taça de Portugal - 1/32-finals

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday


	Marco 09		Farense

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.25	1.9
	3.72	3.31	2
	3.95	3.07	2.04	Watch
	3.79	3.34	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↑ (3.12)	3.24 ↓ (3.3)	1.98 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marco 09
24.5%

Draw
28.6%

Farense
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

28.2%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

27.2%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marco 09 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marco 09's form might have worsened.

Farense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco 09 than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farense than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Marco 09 - Farense Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Farense will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
34', 0 - 1, Candeias A. ⚽,
37', 0 - 2, Sangare B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', 🟨,
55', 🟨,
75', 🟨,
82', 🟨,
83', 🟥,
83', 🟨,
86', 0 - 3, Dario Miranda ⚽,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Farense will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Marco 09
Portuguese Liga 3
05.10.25	Paredes - Marco 09	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Marco 09 - Braga B	2:2 ✺
24.09.25	São João de Ver - Marco 09	0:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.09.25	Marco 09 - Elvas	1:0 ET ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
14.09.25	Marco 09 - Amarante	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTTWW
- SC Farense
Portuguese Liga 2
04.10.25	Lusitânia - Farense	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Farense - Chaves	0:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.09.25	Vidago - Farense	0:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
13.09.25	Leixões - Farense	0:2 ✺
31.08.25	Farense - Marítimo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWWL

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