The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Feirense 40.3%
Draw 29.8%
Lusitânia 29.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.2%
27.2%
25.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.7%
26.4%
24.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Feirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Feirense's form might have worsened.
Lusitânia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Feirense than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Feirense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lusitânia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Feirense - Lusitânia Predictions
Users Predictions:
Feirense will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Feirense will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Meixedo F. (G) 2. Gustavo 4. Leal A. 21. Fernandes E. 12. Ze Ricardo 10. Ribeiro T. 33. Costa G. 6. Doumbia D. 8. John N. 9. Klimov K. 7. Antunes L. (C)
32. Vitor Hugo (G) 74. Braga G. 4. Collard D. 22. Faria B. 16. Rocha L. 8. Tokinho Doria 88. Teixeira M. 11. Pereira M. 12. Arsenio (C) 77. Tiago Dias 9. Silva J.
Substitutes
13. Ali I. 26. Altube D. (G) 19. Arriba J. 47. Basit A. 77. Gui Meira 15. Miguel 11. Nketia D. 20. Oliveira J. 22. Popoola S.
6. Alhassan I. 29. Cerveira T. 60. Danny 20. Do Marcolino F. 27. Fabinho 21. Joao Vasco 3. Josue Sa 5. Silverio 23. Sousa M. (G)
Coaches
Costa R.
Miguel Pedro
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Teixeira M. 🟨,
29', Ze Ricardo 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Rocha L. ⚽, Silva J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ribeiro T. ↓, Miguel ↑,
62', 0 - 2, Pereira M. ⚽, Arsenio (A),
66', Klimov K. ↓, Arriba J. ↑,
66', Leal A. ↓, Nketia D. ↑,
66', Pereira M. ↓, Joao Vasco ↑,
68', Tokinho Doria 🟨,
74', Rocha L. 🟨,
84', 1 - 2, Antunes L. (Pen),
85', Teixeira M. ↓, Fabinho ↑,
85', Tiago Dias ↓, Alhassan I. ↑,
85', Arsenio ↓, Danny ↑,
86', Antunes L. 🟨,
89', John N. 🟨,
90+5', John N. ↓, Basit A. ↑,
90+5', Ze Ricardo ↓, Gui Meira ↑,
90+12', Rocha L. ↓, Cerveira T. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 13).
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Feirense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Feirense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Feirense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.