Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 8

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Dr. Machado de Matos (Felgueiras) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Goncalves J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Portugal	14:00	Sport TV+


	Felgueiras		Lusitânia

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.2
	2.10	2.95	3.20
	2.15	3.05	3.3
	2.23	3.23	3.57
	2.18	3.21	3.41	Watch
	2.15	3.15	3.45
	2.26	3.02	3.27	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.49)	3.1 ↑ (3)	3.34 ↑ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felgueiras
42.6%

Draw
29.7%

Lusitânia
27.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.5%

31.1%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felgueiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Felgueiras's performance.

Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Felgueiras - Lusitânia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Mateus Pasinato (C) 17. Cruz F. 3. Pinto J. 23. Freitas A. 15. Lopes A. 70. Ouacharaf B. 16. Beni Jetour 77. Franca F. 20. Ribeiro R. 9. Leite T. 19. Lucas Duarte	29. Araujo B. (G) 24. Ricardinho 4. Collard D. 22. Faria B. 52. Machado F. 12. Arsenio (C) 20. Paulo D. 27. Fabinho 19. Mandiang S. 17. Santos J. 7. Borges M.
Substitutes
5. Afonso Peixoto 21. Batista D. 96. Duarte M. 25. Felipe Scheibig (G) 13. Joaozinho 10. Michel Costa 95. Namora N. 24. Ribeiro Sousa Peixoto R. P. 7. Rivas M. 87. Samuel 80. Ventura 22. Vivas S.	60. Danny 90. da Silva Moreira I. A. 42. Guilherme 6. Montez A. 21. Paulite 10. Ricardo A. 16. Rocha L. 9. Silva J. 5. Silverio 1. Souza G. (G) 11. Tablante M. 88. Teixeira M.
Coaches
Moreno T.	Silva R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
10', Lucas Duarte 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Leite T. ⚽, Lucas Duarte (A),
33', Araujo B. ↓, Souza G. ↑,
43', 1 - 1, Faria B. ⚽, Santos J. (A),
45+8', 1 - 2, Borges M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ribeiro R. ↓, Michel Costa ↑,
47', 2 - 2, Lucas Duarte ⚽,
55', Machado F. 🟨,
62', Cruz F. ↓, Ventura ↑,
65', Fabinho ↓, Teixeira M. ↑,
65', Santos J. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
69', Lucas Duarte ↓, Rivas M. ↑,
79', Borges M. ↓, Danny ↑,
79', Mandiang S. ↓, Paulite ↑,
84', Danny ↓, Tablante M. ↑,
86', Michel Costa 🟨,
90', Ouacharaf B. ↓, Afonso Peixoto ↑,
90+1', Lopes A. ↓, Ribeiro Sousa Peixoto R. P. ↑,
90+3', Teixeira M. 🟨,

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 15th and 2nd in the Promotion - Liga Portugal).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Felgueiras won 3.

In recent outings, Felgueiras has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Lusitânia is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Felgueiras has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:11 (averaging 0.9:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Felgueiras against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 8:3 goals (averaging 1.6:0.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lusitania FC	8	5	3	0	14:7	7	18
16	Felgueiras	8	1	4	3	7:9	-2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Felgueiras
Taça de Portugal
18.10.26	Felgueiras - Fafe	1:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
12.10.26	Benfica B - Felgueiras	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.09.26	Naval - Felgueiras	0:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
12.09.26	Felgueiras - Penafiel	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Vizela - Felgueiras	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWLL
- Lusitânia FC
Taça de Portugal
18.10.26	Lusitânia - Limianos	2:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
11.10.26	Lusitânia - Chaves	1:1 ✺
14.09.26	Sporting Lisbon B - Lusitânia	1:2 ✺
07.09.26	Lusitânia - AVS	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Académica Coimbra - Lusitânia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
07.02.26	Lusitânia - Felgueiras	2:1
30.08.25	Felgueiras - Lusitânia	3:1
Portuguese Liga 3
28.04.24	Felgueiras - Lusitânia	2:0
02.03.24	Lusitânia - Felgueiras	1:0
05.11.23	Felgueiras - Lusitânia	2:1
08.08.23	Lusitânia - Felgueiras	0:0
12.02.22	Felgueiras - Lusitânia	0:0

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