The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Feirense 56.5%
Draw 25.5%
Mafra 18%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.4%
28.5%
27%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.6%
28.4%
26.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Feirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Feirense's performance.
Mafra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mafra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Feirense than the current prediction. (-11.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Feirense that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mafra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Feirense - Mafra Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Feirense will win
(14 of 14 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Feirense will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
97. Canizares L. (G) 3. Tassano C. 6. Washington 76. Almeida F. (C) 2. Diga 17. Neneco 20. Pereira J. 12. Ze Ricardo 10. Alves R. 9. Petkov S. 7. Antunes L.
30. Ugboh M. (G) 3. Chriso (C) 66. Capitao D. 24. Camara M. 14. Alves K. 80. Goncalves V. 16. Djabi A. 17. Kolawole J. 7. Matos R. 90. Etim F. 95. Rochez B.
Substitutes
13. Ali I. 21. Fernandes E. 1. Goncalves Mateus P. L. (G) 23. Macedo Z. 18. Miranda G. 70. Ponde C. 22. Popoola S. 77. Rehmi A. 88. Ribeiro T.
60. Barros G. 15. Guilherme 79. Guilherme Silva 19. Iheanacho S. 22. Lemos F. (G) 35. Monteiro V. 55. Pata I. 23. Serra S. 39. Souza A.
Coaches
Martins V.
Alves P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Pereira J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
62', Djabi A. 🟨,
63', 1 - 0, Petkov S. ⚽, Alves R. (A),
65', Djabi A. ↓, Guilherme ↑,
65', Kolawole J. ↓, Guilherme Silva ↑,
65', Petkov S. 🟨,
66', 1 - 1, Matos R. ⚽, Goncalves V. (A),
68', Diga ↓, Macedo Z. ↑,
68', Pereira J. ↓, Ribeiro T. ↑,
68', 2 - 1, Ze Ricardo ⚽, Antunes L. (A),
76', Ze Ricardo ↓, Ponde C. ↑,
76', Petkov S. ↓, Fernandes E. ↑,
78', Matos R. ↓, Monteiro V. ↑,
89', Alves R. ↓, Miranda G. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Feirense won 1.
Recent performances by Feirense have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Mafra is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Feirense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Feirense won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Feirense won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).