Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 33

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Marcolino de Castro (Santa Maria da Feira)

Referee: Rodrigues J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan
Portugal	Sport TV7


	Feirense		Oliveirense

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	3.2
	1.9	3.2	3.4
	2	3.35	3.5
	2.08	3.42	3.86
	2	3.45	3.65	Watch
	2	3.1	3.5
	2.03	3.28	3.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.95)	3.31 ↓ (3.35)	3.53 ↓ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Feirense
46.2%

Draw
27.8%

Oliveirense
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

27.9%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

27.4%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Feirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Oliveirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Feirense than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Feirense - Oliveirense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Altube D. (G) 20. Jojo 21. Fernandes E. 4. Leal A. 16. Lopes A. 10. Ribeiro T. 6. Doumbia D. 2. Gustavo 22. Popoola S. 12. Ze Ricardo (C) 11. Nketia D.	31. Ribeiro R. (C) 4. Bura 75. Namora N. 19. Lopes A. 2. Douglas Borel 99. Sabino 14. Pereira D. 26. Bastos L. 17. Lucas Henrique 88. Rodriguez Y. 21. Silva J.
Substitutes
17. dos Santos L. 77. Gui Meira 9. Klimov K. 1. Meixedo F. (G) 40. Mendes P. 15. Miguel 8. Novero G. 3. Robinho 5. Silva B.	5. Filipe Alves 40. Greis N. (G) 11. Joanderson 7. Joao Adriano 9. Martelo P. 54. Martins S. 3. Mateus Raniel 80. Onohara K. 13. Santos V.
Coaches
Costa R.	Silva R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Ze Ricardo ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', Ribeiro T. 🟨,
61', Doumbia D. 🟨,
65', Ribeiro T. ↓, Klimov K. ↑,
65', Nketia D. ↓, Gui Meira ↑,
66', Rodriguez Y. ↓, Martelo P. ↑,
66', Lucas Henrique ↓, Joanderson ↑,
71', Doumbia D. 🟨,
73', Sabino 🟨,
76', 1 - 1, Martelo P. ⚽,
79', Ze Ricardo ↓, Novero G. ↑,
79', Jojo ↓, dos Santos L. ↑,
82', Pereira D. ↓, Filipe Alves ↑,
82', Sabino ↓, Onohara K. ↑,
84', 1 - 2, Martelo P. ⚽,
88', Popoola S. ↓, Silva B. ↑,
90+3', Leal A. 🟨,
90+3', Silva J. ↓, Joao Adriano ↑,
90+5', Gui Meira 🟨,
90+5', Bastos L. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Feirense won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Feirense might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Feirense won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:25. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Feirense won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:12. (average 1.9:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Feirense	6	0	1	5	1:8	-7	1

Last Results with these Odds

Oliveirense - the odds 3.85 are the expected chance of winning is 24.25%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Feirense
Portuguese Liga 2
03.05.26	Paços de Ferreira - Feirense	1:2 ✺
28.04.26	Feirense - Torreense	0:0 ✺
17.04.26	Académico de Viseu - Feirense	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Feirense - Vizela	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Farense - Feirense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WTLWW
- UD Oliveirense
Portuguese Liga 2
02.05.26	Oliveirense - Lusitânia	0:0 ✺
27.04.26	Chaves - Oliveirense	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Oliveirense - Benfica B	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Leixões - Oliveirense	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Oliveirense - Portimonense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
11.01.26	Oliveirense - Feirense	3:4
22.02.25	Feirense - Oliveirense	3:1
29.09.24	Oliveirense - Feirense	1:0
20.01.24	Feirense - Oliveirense	0:0
15.08.23	Oliveirense - Feirense	3:1
11.03.23	Oliveirense - Feirense	0:1
Portuguese League Cup
26.11.22	Oliveirense - Feirense	0:0

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