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Current Win Probability
Oliveirense 28%
Draw 27.8%
Benfica B 44.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.2%
27.1%
42.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.4%
26.4%
43.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oliveirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
Benfica B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica B than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
20%
80%
Oliveirense - Benfica B Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Benfica B will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Ribeiro R. (C) 4. Bura 75. Namora N. 19. Lopes A. 2. Douglas Borel 99. Sabino 8. Ondoa F. 26. Bastos L. 17. Lucas Henrique 88. Rodriguez Y. 21. Silva J.
50. Ferreira D. (G) 94. Silva R. 85. Ferreira M. 89. Parente T. 79. Pinto K. 86. Prioste D. (C) 60. Felix N. 84. Rego J. 67. Rego R. 87. Edokpolor P. 96. Trevisan J.
Substitutes
90. Brito T. 10. Bruno Silva 5. Filipe Alves 40. Greis N. (G) 11. Joanderson 9. Martelo P. 3. Mateus Raniel 80. Onohara K. 14. Pereira D.
54. Bernardes de Freitas Neto F. 95. de Sousa T. 73. Figueiredo M. 88. Freitas T. 63. Gaspar G. 59. Martins L. 77. Moreira G. 92. Sandahl A. (G) 74. Tome O.
Coaches
Silva R.
Verissimo N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
4', Sabino 🟨,
32', Ondoa F. 🟨,
39', Felix N. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Ferreira M. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Sabino ↓, Brito T. ↑,
46', Felix N. ↓, Figueiredo M. ↑,
46', Rego R. ↓, Martins L. ↑,
46', Pinto K. ↓, Moreira G. ↑,
56', Namora N. 🟨,
60', 2 - 0, Silva J. ⚽,
68', Prioste D. ↓, Freitas T. ↑,
68', Rego J. ↓, Tome O. ↑,
77', 3 - 0, Bastos L. ⚽,
81', Lucas Henrique ↓, Bruno Silva ↑,
81', Silva J. ↓, Onohara K. ↑,
86', Rodriguez Y. ↓, Martelo P. ↑,
87', Bastos L. ↓, Joanderson ↑,
90+2', Martelo P. 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oliveirense won 2.
Oliveirense is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Benfica B is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Oliveirense won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 24:40. (average 1.2:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Oliveirense won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.7:1.6).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Benfica B
6
3
1
2
7:5
2
10
Last Results with these Odds
Oliveirense - the odds 3.09 are the expected chance of winning is 30.22%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.