Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 15

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Marcolino de Castro (Santa Maria da Feira)

Referee: Neves G. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV3


	Feirense		Paços de Ferreira

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.2	4.33	Watch
	1.82	3.25	4.35
	1.95	3.33	4.5
	1.87	3.3	4.43	Watch
	1.83	3.2	4
	1.81	3.36	4.55	Watch
	1.77	3.25	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.91)	3.27 ↓ (3.45)	4.42 ↑ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Feirense
50.7%

Draw
28.3%

Paços de Ferreira
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

27.1%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

27.2%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Feirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Feirense than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	42.9%	14.3%

Feirense - Paços de Ferreira Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Feirense will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Meixedo F. (G) 2. Gustavo 21. Fernandes E. 4. Leal A. 12. Ze Ricardo 10. Ribeiro T. 33. Costa G. 22. Popoola S. 20. Jojo 11. Nketia D. 7. Antunes L. (C)	1. Rafa (G) 22. Mota 23. Ferreira T. (C) 77. Rafael 5. Sousa A. 26. Cunha N. 13. Pinto J. 88. Francisco Ramos 90. Lumungo R. 7. Diego Fernandes 30. Costinha
Substitutes
47. Ahmed B. 26. Altube D. (G) 23. de Oliveira da Silva P. H. 32. Edgar Ie 77. Gui Meira 8. John N. 15. Miguel 17. Santos L. 5. Silva B.	21. Anilson 38. Coelho G. 3. Diegao 33. Fernandinho 12. Jeimes (G) 4. Kauan 19. Nito 36. Silva V. 9. Victor J.
Coaches
Costa R.	Braga N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Popoola S. 🟨,
62', Popoola S. ↓, John N. ↑,
64', Jojo ↓, de Oliveira da Silva P. H. ↑,
64', Pinto J. ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
65', Diego Fernandes ↓, Victor J. ↑,
68', Costinha 🟨,
68', Costinha ↓, Silva V. ↑,
77', Antunes L. ↓, Santos L. ↑,
77', Ribeiro T. ↓, Ahmed B. ↑,
77', Nketia D. ↓, Gui Meira ↑,
78', Cunha N. 🟨,
79', Mota ↓, Anilson ↑,
79', Cunha N. ↓, Nito ↑,
79', Fernandinho 🟨,
81', Gustavo 🟨,
84', Fernandinho 🟨,
85', Gustavo 🟨,
89', Ze Ricardo 🟨,
90', 0 - 1, Victor J. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Feirense won 4.

Feirense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Paços de Ferreira is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Paços de Ferreira may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Feirense is a strong favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Feirense won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Feirense won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 1.8:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Feirense
Portuguese Liga 2
12.12.25	Torreense - Feirense	2:3 ✺
07.12.25	Feirense - Académico de Viseu	0:0 ✺
01.12.25	Vizela - Feirense	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	Feirense - Farense	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Sporting Lisbon B - Feirense	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WTTTL
- Paços de Ferreira
Portuguese Liga 2
14.12.25	Paços de Ferreira - Lusitânia	1:5 ✺
07.12.25	Chaves - Paços de Ferreira	2:0 ✺
01.12.25	Paços de Ferreira - Felgueiras	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Marítimo - Paços de Ferreira	2:0 ✺
03.11.25	Paços de Ferreira - Leixões	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
15.02.25	Paços de Ferreira - Feirense	1:2
16.09.24	Feirense - Paços de Ferreira	2:0
26.02.24	Paços de Ferreira - Feirense	1:0
01.10.23	Feirense - Paços de Ferreira	1:0
Taça de Portugal
19.12.18	Feirense - Paços de Ferreira	2:1 penalties
Liga Portugal
29.01.18	Paços de Ferreira - Feirense	2:1
21.08.17	Feirense - Paços de Ferreira	2:1

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