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Current Win Probability
Paços de Ferreira 30.8%
Draw 30.2%
Lusitânia 39%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30%
28.4%
41.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.8%
27.3%
43.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paços de Ferreira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.6%
0%
71.4%
Paços de Ferreira - Lusitânia Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Lusitânia will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lusitânia will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Marafona (G) 33. Fernandinho 23. Ferreira T. (C) 77. Rafael 22. Mota 88. Francisco Ramos 26. Cunha N. 5. Sousa A. 90. Lumungo R. 7. Diego Fernandes 30. Costinha
32. Vitor Hugo (G) 3. Josue Sa 5. Silverio (C) 4. Collard D. 29. Cerveira T. 8. Tokinho Doria 27. Fabinho 16. Rocha L. 77. Tiago Dias 11. Pereira M. 12. Arsenio
Substitutes
21. Anilson 2. Cardoso G. 3. Diegao 10. Matheus Martins 19. Nito 13. Pinto J. 1. Rafa (G) 36. Silva V. 9. Victor J.
20. Do Marcolino F. 22. Faria B. 21. Joao Vasco 80. Manel 7. Martins R. 19. Palacios A. 23. Ribeiro M. (G) 88. Teixeira M.
Coaches
Braga N.
Miguel Pedro
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 3)
18', 1 - 0, Sousa A. ⚽, Mota (A),
27', 1 - 1, Josue Sa ⚽, Arsenio (A),
32', 1 - 2, Tokinho Doria ⚽, Arsenio (A),
44', 1 - 3, Tiago Dias ⚽, Collard D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', 1 - 4, Pereira M. ⚽,
61', Francisco Ramos ↓, Silva V. ↑,
61', Diego Fernandes ↓, Victor J. ↑,
61', Fernandinho ↓, Pinto J. ↑,
62', Arsenio ↓, Joao Vasco ↑,
74', Sousa A. ↓, Anilson ↑,
74', Mota 🟨,
76', Silverio 🟨,
80', Pereira M. 🟨,
80', Fabinho ↓, Do Marcolino F. ↑,
80', Silva V. 🟨,
81', Silverio ↓, Teixeira M. ↑,
81', Tiago Dias ↓, Faria B. ↑,
85', Rafael 🟨,
86', 1 - 5, Joao Vasco ⚽,
89', Pereira M. ↓, Manel ↑,
90', Cunha N. ↓, Nito ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 9).
Paços de Ferreira is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Lusitânia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Paços de Ferreira won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, Paços de Ferreira won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
Last Results with these Odds
Paços de Ferreira - the odds 3.11 are the expected chance of winning is 30%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Portugal
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Marafona (G) 
Fernandinho 
Lumungo R. 
Collard D. 
Nito 
Do Marcolino F. 
Palacios A. 
