Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 13

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Chaves (Chaves)

Referee: Vieira B. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV4


	Chaves		Paços de Ferreira

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.4	5.75	Watch
	1.58	3.7	5.5
	1.58	3.96	6.24
	1.56	4.01	5.82	Watch
	1.53	3.6	5.5
	1.59	3.72	5.68	Watch
	1.57	3.75	5.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.53)	3.73 ↓ (4.19)	5.74 ↑ (5.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chaves
59.1%

Draw
24.7%

Paços de Ferreira
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

22.3%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

21.9%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chaves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Chaves - Paços de Ferreira Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Chaves will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chaves (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Chaves (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Chaves (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Gudzulic M. (G) 4. Bruno Rodrigues 34. Alves R. (C) 22. Muscat Z. 19. Tiago Almeida 44. Bikoro F. 97. Joao Teixeira 30. Kusso D. 21. Wellington Carvalho 17. Roberto 77. Reinaldo	12. Jeimes (G) 23. Ferreira T. (C) 77. Rafael 4. Kauan 21. Anilson 19. Nito 26. Cunha N. 5. Sousa A. 90. Lumungo R. 7. Diego Fernandes 30. Costinha
Substitutes
66. Abdala K. 15. Carraca 27. Esajas R. 9. Milovanovic U. 7. Paulo Victor 18. Pereira H. 26. Rodrigues G. 33. Simoes T. 1. Vozinha (G)	2. Cardoso G. 3. Diegao 33. Fernandinho 88. Francisco Ramos 10. Matheus Martins 13. Pinto J. 1. Rafa (G) 36. Silva V.
Coaches
Martins F.	Candido F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Alves R. ↓, Simoes T. ↑,
25', Bikoro F. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Roberto ⚽,
36', Nito 🟨,
45+2', Reinaldo 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Nito ↓, Francisco Ramos ↑,
53', Sousa A. 🟨,
71', Roberto ↓, Milovanovic U. ↑,
71', Wellington Carvalho ↓, Carraca ↑,
72', Costinha ↓, Silva V. ↑,
72', Anilson ↓, Pinto J. ↑,
73', Kusso D. 🟨,
79', Sousa A. ↓, Matheus Martins ↑,
79', Cunha N. ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
82', Kusso D. ↓, Rodrigues G. ↑,
82', Reinaldo ↓, Pereira H. ↑,
83', Muscat Z. 🟨,
84', Kauan 🟨,
89', 2 - 0, Bruno Rodrigues ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chaves won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Paços de Ferreira may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Chaves is the team to beat.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Chaves won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Chaves won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 2.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desportivo Chaves
Portuguese Liga 2
30.11.25	Torreense - Chaves	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Chaves - Sporting Lisbon B	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Leixões - Chaves	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Chaves - Porto B	0:1 ✺
03.11.25	Leiria - Chaves	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTWLL
- Paços de Ferreira
Portuguese Liga 2
01.12.25	Paços de Ferreira - Felgueiras	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Marítimo - Paços de Ferreira	2:0 ✺
03.11.25	Paços de Ferreira - Leixões	3:1 ✺
30.10.25	Benfica B - Paços de Ferreira	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Paços de Ferreira - Portimonense	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
30.03.25	Paços de Ferreira - Chaves	2:0
02.11.24	Chaves - Paços de Ferreira	2:1
Liga Portugal
13.05.23	Chaves - Paços de Ferreira	2:0
08.01.23	Paços de Ferreira - Chaves	1:1
Club Friendly
13.07.19	Paços de Ferreira - Chaves	1:0
08.09.18	Chaves - Paços de Ferreira	2:2
Liga Portugal
31.03.18	Paços de Ferreira - Chaves	2:0

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