The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Feirense 39.9%
Draw 30.4%
Penafiel 29.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43%
28%
29%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.6%
28.4%
28.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Feirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Penafiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Feirense than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
37.5%
37.5%
25%
Feirense - Penafiel Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Feirense will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Penafiel will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Feirense: 4% – 71%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Penafiel (2.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Penafiel (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Altube D. (G) 20. Jojo 21. Fernandes E. 4. Leal A. 16. Lopes A. 10. Ribeiro T. (C) 22. Popoola S. 23. de Oliveira da Silva P. H. 19. Arriba J. 17. Santos L. 11. Nketia D.
32. Femenias J. (G) 5. Sanchez J. 4. Miguel J. (C) 33. Moreira C. 7. Anzai S. 21. Pedro Sa 6. Carbonell A. 88. Alves R. 14. Pereira B. 20. Santos A. 19. Alcaina R.
Substitutes
77. Gui Meira 89. Joao Lima 9. Klimov K. 1. Meixedo F. (G) 40. Mendes P. 15. Miguel 8. Novero G. 3. Robinho 5. Silva B.
31. Balde M. (G) 37. Davo 61. Injai M. 17. Kebe I. 2. lano Imbene 27. Negrao G. 9. Rodrigues D. 95. Sery J. 34. Ze Leite
Coaches
Costa R.
Aira J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Miguel J. (Own goal),
17', Popoola S. 🟨,
38', Jojo 🟨,
38', Pereira B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Pedro Sa ↓, Kebe I. ↑,
60', Alves R. ↓, Davo ↑,
61', Sanchez J. 🟨,
63', Nketia D. ↓, Joao Lima ↑,
68', Santos L. ↓, Miguel ↑,
69', de Oliveira da Silva P. H. ↓, Novero G. ↑,
74', Alcaina R. ↓, Sery J. ↑,
77', Arriba J. ↓, Mendes P. ↑,
77', Popoola S. ↓, Gui Meira ↑,
83', Sanchez J. ↓, Rodrigues D. ↑,
83', Carbonell A. ↓, Ze Leite ↑,
86', Ribeiro T. 🟨,
90+2', Novero G. 🟨,
90+9', Ribeiro T. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Feirense won 4.
Feirense has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Penafiel is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Penafiel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Feirense might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Feirense won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:17. (average 1.1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Feirense won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 1.2:0.6).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Penafiel
6
4
1
1
13:5
8
13
18
Feirense
6
0
1
5
1:8
-7
1
Last Results with these Odds
Penafiel - the odds 3.21 are the expected chance of winning is 29.04%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Portugal
Watch
#ad
Altube D. (G) 
Jojo 
Popoola S. 
de Oliveira da Silva P. H. 
Nketia D. 
Anzai S. 
Klimov K. 
Novero G. 
Balde M. (G) 
Kebe I. 
Sery J. 
