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Current Win Probability
Penafiel 29.4%
Draw 28.5%
Benfica B 42.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.9%
27.5%
43.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.4%
27%
42.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Penafiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Benfica B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
The ML Model estimate for Penafiel aligns with the current prediction.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica B than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
25%
0%
Penafiel - Benfica B Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Penafiel will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Penafiel: 45% – 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Penafiel (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Penafiel will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Penafiel (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
32. Femenias J. (G) 27. Negrao G. 33. Moreira C. 4. Miguel J. (C) 14. Pereira B. 61. Injai M. 6. Carbonell A. 21. Pedro Sa 7. Anzai S. 28. Schutte R. 20. Santos A.
50. Ferreira D. (G) 55. Fonseca J. 64. Oliveira G. 85. Ferreira M. 58. Banjaqui D. 86. Prioste D. (C) 73. Figueiredo M. 67. Rego R. 84. Rego J. 96. Trevisan J. 77. Moreira G.
Substitutes
19. Alcaina R. 75. Alloh T. 31. Balde M. (G) 37. Davo 17. Kebe I. 8. Reko 9. Rodrigues D. 95. Sery J. 34. Ze Leite
54. Bernardes de Freitas Neto F. 95. de Sousa T. 99. Dudu 87. Edokpolor P. 88. Freitas T. 89. Parente T. 98. Ribeiro R. (G) 94. Silva R. 74. Tome O.
Coaches
Aira J.
Verissimo N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Schutte R. ↓, Alcaina R. ↑,
15', Fonseca J. ↓, Silva R. ↑,
37', 0 - 1, Figueiredo M. ⚽, Ferreira M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Negrao G. ↓, Davo ↑,
55', Moreira C. 🟨,
55', Rego J. 🟨,
61', Prioste D. 🟨,
62', Trevisan J. ↓, Edokpolor P. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Pereira B. ⚽,
70', Pedro Sa ↓, Reko ↑,
75', Davo 🟨,
78', Oliveira G. 🟨,
81', Rego J. ↓, de Sousa T. ↑,
82', Figueiredo M. ↓, Freitas T. ↑,
88', Alcaina R. ↓, Sery J. ↑,
89', Santos A. ↓, Ze Leite ↑,
90+3', Ferreira M. 🟨,
90+5', Oliveira G. 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Benfica B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Benfica B could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:23. (average 1.1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Penafiel won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.9:0.9).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Penafiel
6
4
1
1
13:5
8
13
6
Benfica B
6
3
1
2
7:5
2
10
Last Results with these Odds
Penafiel - the odds 3.23 are the expected chance of winning is 28.88%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
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Femenias J. (G) 
Negrao G. 
Injai M. 
Anzai S. 
Trevisan J. 
Alloh T. 
Kebe I. 
de Sousa T. 
Edokpolor P. 
