Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 4

Date: 2 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Marcolino de Castro (Santa Maria da Feira)

Referee: Melo F. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV6, Sport TV+


	Feirense		Santa Clara

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.1	2.1
	3.35	3.15	2.06
	3.65	3.26	2.21
	3.1	3.1	2.1
	3.4	3.25	2.11	Watch
	3.15	3.1	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↑ (2.6)	3.16 ↑ (3)	2.13 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Feirense
27.7%

Draw
29.1%

Santa Clara
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

29.8%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

30.4%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Feirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Feirense's form might have worsened.

Santa Clara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santa Clara's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Feirense than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Feirense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santa Clara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

Feirense - Santa Clara Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Santa Clara will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Goncalves Mateus P. L. (G) 35. Sergio Conceicao 76. Almeida F. 4. Shimaga A. 7. Bras D. 71. Camara M. 20. Pereira J. 88. Alves R. 10. Oche O. 77. Dudu Hatamoto 9. Paredes J. (C)	1. Gabriel Batista (G) 23. Lima S. 13. Rocha L. 4. Pacheco P. 42. Lucas Soares 35. Serginho 20. Adriano Firmino 32. MT 10. Ricardinho (C) 9. Joao Marcos 19. Almeida B.
Substitutes
70. Castro J. 24. Costa J. (G) 21. Grave M. 27. Jocu H. 17. Lucas SIlva 3. Moreira C. 14. Ndione M. 37. Picas 2. Wellington Tim	11. Andrezinho 2. Diogo Calila 16. Henrique P. 98. Joao Bravim (G) 77. Klismahn G. 99. Rafael Martins 6. Velazquez S. 70. Vinicius Lopes
Coaches
Sousa R.	Matos V.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Feirense won 2.

Feirense is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Santa Clara is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Feirense have a series of guest games.

Recently Santa Clara have a series of home games.

Santa Clara will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Feirense won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 19-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Feirense won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Feirense
Portuguese Liga 2
26.08.23	Académico de Viseu - Feirense	2:0 ✺
20.08.23	Feirense - Penafiel	2:0 ✺
15.08.23	Oliveirense - Feirense	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.23	Chaves - Feirense	4:2 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
23.07.23	Leixões - Feirense	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LWLLL
- CD Santa Clara
Portuguese Liga 2
27.08.23	Santa Clara - Vilaverdense	2:0 ✺
21.08.23	Leixões - Santa Clara	0:0 ✺
16.08.23	Santa Clara - Torreense	2:0 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
29.07.23	Santa Clara - Tondela	0:1 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.23	Santa Clara - Chaves	2:0
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
19.07.23	Santa Clara - Feirense	1:2
Portuguese League Cup
08.12.22	Feirense - Santa Clara	4:3
Liga Portugal
11.05.19	Santa Clara - Feirense	4:4
06.01.19	Feirense - Santa Clara	2:2
Portuguese Liga 2
16.03.16	Santa Clara - Feirense	0:0
31.10.15	Feirense - Santa Clara	1:0
10.05.15	Santa Clara - Feirense	0:0

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