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Current Win Probability
Santa Clara 54%
Draw 28.1%
Tondela 18%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.4%
27%
18.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.3%
26.6%
18.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Clara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Tondela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
90.9%
0%
9.1%
Santa Clara - Tondela Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.75 - Tondela (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -0.5 - Santa Clara (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Santa Clara will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%). Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Santa Clara will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Santa Clara (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Tondela (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gabriel Batista (C) 23. Lima S. 21. Venancio F. 32. MT 42. Lucas Soares 6. Adriano Firmino 35. Serginho 3. Matheus Pereira 2. Diogo Calila 9. Carter A. 28. Luquinhas
31. Bernardo (G) 2. Bebeto (C) 4. Marques C. 20. Medina B. 48. Manso T. 32. Rodriguez J. 15. Sithole S. 7. Pedro Maranhao 16. Rony Lopes 29. Siebatcheu J. 17. Cavaleiro I.
Substitutes
17. Costa J. 7. Elias Manoel 8. Ferreira P. 10. Gabriel Silva 12. Neneca (G) 13. Rocha L. 65. Tavares J. 70. Vinicius Lopes 29. Wendell
5. Afonso J. 30. Canizares L. (G) 97. Cicero 79. Felix H. 10. Hodge J. 60. Maviram E. 19. Rodrigues A. 11. Rodriguez Y. 67. Yarlen
Coaches
Matos V.
Vieira I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
35', Marques C. 🟨,
41', Carter A. ↓, Wendell ↑,
41', Diogo Calila ↓, Vinicius Lopes ↑,
45', Rony Lopes 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', Pedro Maranhao (Pen),
53', MT 🟨,
53', Luquinhas ↓, Gabriel Silva ↑,
61', 0 - 1, Pedro Maranhao ⚽, Rony Lopes (A),
64', 0 - 2, Sithole S. ⚽, Rony Lopes (A),
67', Serginho ↓, Ferreira P. ↑,
67', Lima S. ↓, Tavares J. ↑,
67', Rony Lopes ↓, Cicero ↑,
67', Rodriguez J. ↓, Hodge J. ↑,
73', Cicero 🟨,
76', 1 - 2, Wendell (Pen),
79', Siebatcheu J. ↓, Maviram E. ↑,
79', Manso T. ↓, Rodriguez Y. ↑,
85', Sithole S. 🟨,
86', Cavaleiro I. ↓, Yarlen ↑,
89', Pedro Maranhao 🟨,
90+4', Bebeto 🟨,
90+5', Matheus Pereira 🟨,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Clara won 2.
Santa Clara is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Tondela has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
In this match, Santa Clara is the team to beat.
There will not play in Santa Clara: Pacheco P.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Tondela: Tavares H.
(Red Card)
There are questionable in Tondela: Cicero
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santa Clara won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:25. (average 1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Santa Clara won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.1:1).