Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 6

Date: 30 September 2024, Monday

Location: Estádio do Vizela (Caldas de Vizela)

Referee: Melo F. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV3, Sport TV+


	Vizela		Mafra

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.25	3.5
	1.95	3.2	3.4
	2	3.3	3.75
	2.06	3.36	3.95
	2.01	3.42	3.64	Watch
	1.95	3.5	3.2
	2.07	3.7	3.2	Watch
	2	3.3	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.93)	3.38 ↓ (3.43)	3.55 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vizela
46.4%

Draw
27.5%

Mafra
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

27%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

27.2%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vizela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Mafra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vizela than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Vizela - Mafra Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Vizela will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vizela: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Ruly (G) 40. Henrique I. 4. Rhyner J. 6. Jota Goncalves (C) 19. Lebedenko O. 21. Ramos R. 20. Semedo Y. 90. Nascimento D. 68. Obah P. 23. Milovanovic U. 97. Loppy D.	1. Fraisl M. (G) 2. Texel P. (C) 4. Passi B. 32. Rodrigo Freitas 5. Beni D. 20. Maiga Y. 80. Goncalves V. 21. Precatado J. 9. Nibe A. 7. Matos R. 10. Fale M.
Substitutes
8. Bastunov A. 22. Busnic A. 17. Joao Reis 77. Jojo 24. Morschel H. 7. Pena H. 1. Ruberto F. (G) 38. Tavares M. 12. Tol M.	66. Capitao D. 3. Chriso 18. Fabinho 15. Guilherme 19. Iheanacho S. 17. Kolawole J. 22. Lemos F. (G) 6. Pereira P. 39. Souza A.
Coaches
de la Barrera R.	Vaz Pinto C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Milovanovic U. ⚽,
38', Maiga Y. 🟨,
41', Obah P. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Maiga Y. ↓, Capitao D. ↑,
56', 2 - 0, Obah P. ⚽,
59', Goncalves V. ↓, Chriso ↑,
65', Ramos R. ↓, Bastunov A. ↑,
68', 3 - 0, Obah P. ⚽,
70', Matos R. ↓, Guilherme ↑,
70', Precatado J. ↓, Iheanacho S. ↑,
71', 🟨,
75', Loppy D. ↓, Morschel H. ↑,
82', Rhyner J. ↓, Tol M. ↑,
82', Milovanovic U. ↓, Tavares M. ↑,
82', Lebedenko O. ↓, Joao Reis ↑,
89', Fraisl M. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 12 and 14).

Vizela is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Mafra is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vizela will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Vizela won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Vizela won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vizela
Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	Lusitânia - Vizela	4:3 ET ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
15.09.24	Leixões - Vizela	0:1 ✺
31.08.24	Vizela - Torreense	1:2 ✺
25.08.24	Benfica B - Vizela	1:0 ✺
18.08.24	Vizela - Penafiel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLLL
- CD Mafra
Taça de Portugal
21.09.24	Montijo - Mafra	1:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
15.09.24	Mafra - Tondela	0:4 ✺
01.09.24	Chaves - Mafra	0:3 ✺
25.08.24	Mafra - Portimonense	2:2 ✺
17.08.24	Oliveirense - Mafra	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese League Cup
05.12.22	Mafra - Vizela	1:1
Portuguese Liga 2
06.03.21	Vizela - Mafra	2:0
17.10.20	Mafra - Vizela	2:0

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