Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 14

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa (Leiria)

Referee: Jesus F. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV1


	Leiria		Felgueiras

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	2.88	Watch
	2.25	3.25	3
	2.38	3.3	3.21
	2.29	3.28	3.09	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.88
	2.32	3.22	3.01	Watch
	2.22	3.25	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.27)	3.21 ↓ (3.37)	3.02 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiria
40.4%

Draw
28.9%

Felgueiras
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

27.7%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

26.6%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Felgueiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felgueiras than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Leiria - Felgueiras Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Leiria will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Felgueiras will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Leiria (votes: 1 - 50%). Felgueiras (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Leiria (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Leiria (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Felgueiras (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Joao Bravim (G) 68. Maga 6. Rodriguez G. 16. Ze Pedro 3. Baro M. 18. Lottin A. 21. Pires M. 10. van der Gaag J. 11. Jair da Silva 9. Munoz J. (C) 86. Michel D.	25. Felipe Scheibig (G) 61. Eiro 3. Pinto J. 33. Dario 34. Silva A. 5. Rosas P. 78. Moreira V. 18. Gabi (C) 6. Martins H. 7. Rivas M. 19. Lucas Duarte
Substitutes
25. Amado D. 1. Carrasco S. (G) 19. Fernandez P. 20. Gomes B. 17. Lucho Vega 78. Santos J. 15. Silva J. 52. Sylla H. 4. Velazquez S.	77. Beni 20. Berna 17. Cruz F. 4. Dudu Cruz 30. Feliz 13. Figueiredo C. (G) 14. Jean-Marie M. 10. Michel Costa 12. Zangre A.
Coaches
Pereira F.	Bento A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', Lottin A. 🟨,
24', Lottin A. ↓, Lucho Vega ↑,
32', 0 - 1, Rosas P. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Munoz J. ⚽, Lucho Vega (A),
45+3', 2 - 1, Munoz J. ⚽, Michel D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', Lucas Duarte ↓, Michel Costa ↑,
63', Pinto J. ↓, Jean-Marie M. ↑,
71', Ze Pedro 🟨,
72', 2 - 2, Rivas M. ⚽,
81', Baro M. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
81', van der Gaag J. ↓, Fernandez P. ↑,
81', Lucho Vega ↓, Santos J. ↑,
90+5', Jair da Silva 🟨,
90+9', 2 - 3, Rivas M. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)).

Leiria has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Felgueiras is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Felgueiras may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Leiria will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Leiria won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 2.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Leiria won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Leiria
Portuguese Liga 2
05.12.25	Penafiel - Leiria	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Leiria - Benfica B	2:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.11.25	1 Dezembro - Leiria	1:3 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
09.11.25	Lusitânia - Leiria	1:1 ✺
03.11.25	Leiria - Chaves	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTWTW
- FC Felgueiras
Portuguese Liga 2
06.12.25	Felgueiras - Sporting Lisbon B	0:2 ✺
01.12.25	Paços de Ferreira - Felgueiras	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Felgueiras - Farense	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Felgueiras - Académico de Viseu	1:3 ✺
04.11.25	Torreense - Felgueiras	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
08.03.25	Felgueiras - Leiria	2:2
11.10.24	Leiria - Felgueiras	1:3
Portuguese Liga 3
06.05.23	Felgueiras - Leiria	0:2
16.04.23	Leiria - Felgueiras	4:1

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