Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 27

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Dr. Machado de Matos (Felgueiras)

Referee: Torres M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV1


	Felgueiras		Torreense

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	2.88
	2.3	3.1	2.8
	2.38	3.1	2.92
	2.37	3.24	3.19
	2.44	3.13	2.99	Watch
	2.3	2.9	2.9
	2.44	3.23	2.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.4)	3.11 ↓ (3.24)	2.93 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felgueiras
39.1%

Draw
29.5%

Torreense
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

28.8%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

29.3%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felgueiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Torreense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felgueiras than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torreense than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	57.1%	28.6%

Felgueiras - Torreense Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Felgueiras will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Torreense will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Mateus Pasinato (G) 2. Casimiro 34. Silva A. 33. Dario 5. Parente T. 8. Landinho (C) 18. Gabi 10. Michel Costa 19. Lucas Duarte 7. Rivas M. 9. Santos Teixeira L.	1. Lucas Paes (G) 22. David Bruno 46. Agbor B. 93. Mohamed D. 23. Vazquez J. (C) 10. Costinha 6. Leo Silva 8. Alfaro A. 31. Seydi I. 17. Drammeh M. 7. Jean D.
Substitutes
45. Aidara M. 77. Beni 20. Berna 17. Cruz F. 4. Dudu Cruz 25. Felipe Scheibig (G) 14. Jean-Marie M. 79. Leite T. 3. Pinto J.	14. Assuncao R. 47. Baradji A. 56. Caio Amaral 57. Danilo 13. Perez U. (G) 20. Pite 29. Quintero L. 26. Simoes A. 9. Zohi K.
Coaches
Bento A.	Tralhao L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Vazquez J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Michel Costa ↓, Jean-Marie M. ↑,
57', Rivas M. ↓, Beni ↑,
58', Parente T. ↓, Berna ↑,
64', 0 - 2, Jean D. ⚽, Alfaro A. (A),
68', Landinho ↓, Leite T. ↑,
74', Seydi I. ↓, Pite ↑,
74', Drammeh M. ↓, Zohi K. ↑,
75', Leo Silva 🟨,
81', 0 - 3, Zohi K. ⚽, Jean D. (A),
82', Costinha ↓, Simoes A. ↑,
88', Jean D. ↓, Caio Amaral ↑,
88', Alfaro A. ↓, Baradji A. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 4).

Recent form of Felgueiras has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Torreense is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Torreense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Felgueiras won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Felgueiras won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Felgueiras	6	1	3	2	5:6	-1	6
14	Torreense	6	1	3	2	7:9	-2	6

Last Results with these Odds

Felgueiras - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.94%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Felgueiras
Portuguese Liga 2
13.03.26	Farense - Felgueiras	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Felgueiras - Vizela	0:1 ✺
02.03.26	Feirense - Felgueiras	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Felgueiras - Penafiel	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Benfica B - Felgueiras	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLTTL
- SCU Torreense
Portuguese Liga 2
16.03.26	Torreense - Portimonense	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Oliveirense - Torreense	0:3 ✺
28.02.26	Torreense - Porto B	0:3 ✺
21.02.26	Torreense - Benfica B	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Paços de Ferreira - Torreense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
04.11.25	Torreense - Felgueiras	2:0
13.04.25	Torreense - Felgueiras	1:1
30.11.24	Felgueiras - Torreense	1:2
Portuguese Liga 3
22.04.22	Felgueiras - Torreense	3:1
02.04.22	Torreense - Felgueiras	2:1

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