Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 25

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Dr. Machado de Matos (Felgueiras)

Referee: Vasilica I. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV1


	Felgueiras		Vizela

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.9	2.88
	2.42	3.05	2.92
	2.34	3.05	2.92
	2.47	3.05	3.01	Watch
	2.4	2.8	2.9
	2.43	3.06	3.03	Watch
	2.3	3	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.05)	2.99 ↓ (3.1)	2.89 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felgueiras
38.2%

Draw
30.4%

Vizela
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

29%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

26.5%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felgueiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Felgueiras's form might have worsened.

Vizela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felgueiras than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vizela than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

Felgueiras - Vizela Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Felgueiras will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Vizela will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Vizela (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Vizela (2.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Vizela (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Mateus Pasinato (G) 61. Eiro 33. Dario 34. Silva A. 5. Parente T. 18. Gabi 6. Martins H. 8. Landinho (C) 79. Leite T. 19. Lucas Duarte 7. Rivas M.	1. Gomis A. (G) 77. Jojo 13. Rocha L. 55. Hristov A. 20. Godwin O. 22. Busnic A. 5. Moha Moukhliss 7. Loppy D. 24. Morschel H. (C) 36. Lacava M. 23. Fortune Y.
Substitutes
77. Beni 20. Berna 2. Casimiro 17. Cruz F. 25. Felipe Scheibig (G) 11. Joao Rafael 10. Michel Costa 3. Pinto J. 9. Santos Teixeira L.	8. Bastunov A. 2. Cvijanovic I. 18. Demchenko N. 45. Ivanov H. 29. Kitala Y. 14. Pierre L. 37. Sampaio J. 92. Souza P. (G) 11. Thio
Coaches
Bento A.	Silva N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Loppy D. 🟨,
26', Eiro 🟨,
33', Hristov A. ↓, Sampaio J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Leite T. ↓, Santos Teixeira L. ↑,
64', 0 - 1, Fortune Y. ⚽,
66', Gabi ↓, Michel Costa ↑,
69', Loppy D. ↓, Thio ↑,
69', Fortune Y. ↓, Kitala Y. ↑,
74', Landinho ↓, Beni ↑,
77', Sampaio J. 🟨,
85', Lacava M. ↓, Ivanov H. ↑,
85', Moha Moukhliss ↓, Bastunov A. ↑,
86', Eiro ↓, Cruz F. ↑,
90+1', Morschel H. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 7).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Felgueiras may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Felgueiras won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Felgueiras won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Vizela	6	3	2	1	7:4	3	11
13	Felgueiras	6	1	3	2	5:6	-1	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Felgueiras
Portuguese Liga 2
02.03.26	Feirense - Felgueiras	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Felgueiras - Penafiel	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Benfica B - Felgueiras	4:2 ✺
07.02.26	Lusitânia - Felgueiras	2:1 ✺
31.01.26	Felgueiras - Chaves	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TTLLW
- FC Vizela
Portuguese Liga 2
28.02.26	Vizela - Chaves	3:2 ✺
20.02.26	Leixões - Vizela	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Vizela - Marítimo	0:3 ✺
07.02.26	Oliveirense - Vizela	3:0 ✺
31.01.26	Vizela - Portimonense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
24.10.25	Vizela - Felgueiras	2:2
26.04.25	Vizela - Felgueiras	1:1
15.12.24	Felgueiras - Vizela	2:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
20.04.19	Vizela - Felgueiras	3:1
09.12.18	Felgueiras - Vizela	0:3

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