Match Info

Date: 19 August 2021, Thursday


	Fenerbahçe		HJK

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.5	6.5	Watch
	1.44	4.2	6
	1.45	4.5	6.75	Watch
	1.45	4.2	6.6
	1.44	4.7	6.9
	1.38	4.33	6.5	Watch
	1.43	4.65	6.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.33)	4.44 ↓ (4.85)	6.59 ↓ (8.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fenerbahçe
64.9%

Draw
21%

HJK
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.2%

19.2%

10.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

80.3%

16.8%

9.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fenerbahçe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fenerbahçe's form might have worsened.

HJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fenerbahçe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HJK than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.7%	11%	14.3%

Fenerbahçe - HJK Predictions

Users Predictions: 91 users predict this event. Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 68 - 74.7%). HJK will win (votes: 13 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 11%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fenerbahçe: 65.8% – 83.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Fenerbahçe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Fenerbahçe is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Fenerbahçe to win the game is with odds 1.5.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fenerbahçe
Turkish Super League
15.08.21	Adana Demirspor - Fenerbahçe	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.21	Giresunspor - Fenerbahçe	1:3 ✺
04.08.21	Fenerbahçe - Dynamo Kyiv	1:1 ✺
31.07.21	Fenerbahçe - Greuther Fürth	3:2 ✺
28.07.21	Fenerbahçe - Zwolle	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWTWT
- HJK Helsinki
Finnish Veikkausliiga
15.08.21	HJK - IFK Mariehamn	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
12.08.21	HJK - Neftchi Baku	3:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
07.08.21	KTP Kotka - HJK	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
03.08.21	Neftchi Baku - HJK	2:2 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
31.07.21	HJK - SJK	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWTT

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