Match Info

Date: 3 August 2021, Tuesday


	Neftchi Baku		HJK

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.87	Watch
	2.4	2.95	2.9	Watch
	2.4	3.05	3.15
	2.47	3	2.95
	2.65	3.21	2.82
	2.5	3.1	3
	2.47	3.06	3.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.36)	3.08 ↓ (3.23)	2.96 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neftchi Baku
37.7%

Draw
30.5%

HJK
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

29%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

21.4%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neftchi Baku has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

HJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftchi Baku than the current prediction. (+16.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Neftchi Baku, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HJK than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for HJK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
51.9%	25.9%	22.2%

Neftchi Baku - HJK Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Neftchi will win (votes: 14 - 51.9%). HJK will win (votes: 6 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 25.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Neftchi: 33.1% – 70.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

HJK could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Neftchi will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neftchi Baku
UEFA Champions League
28.07.21	Neftchi Baku - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:1 ✺
21.07.21	Olympiacos Piraeus - Neftchi Baku	1:0 ✺
14.07.21	Neftchi Baku - Dinamo Tbilisi	2:1 ✺
07.07.21	Dinamo Tbilisi - Neftchi Baku	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
29.06.21	Spartak Moscow - Neftchi Baku	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 LLWWW
- HJK Helsinki
Finnish Veikkausliiga
31.07.21	HJK - SJK	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
27.07.21	HJK - Malmö	2:2 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
24.07.21	HJK - Haka	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.07.21	Malmö - HJK	2:1 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
17.07.21	Oulu - HJK	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TTWLL

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