Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 30 November 2022, Wednesday


	Fenerbahçe		Rayo Vallecano

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.5	2.9
	2	3.7	3.3
	2.11	3.6	3.05
	2.02	3.58	3.15
	2.05	3.3	3.2
	1.99	3.68	3.14	Watch
	2.11	3.6	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.23)	3.57 ↓ (3.83)	3.11 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fenerbahçe
44.8%

Draw
25.7%

Rayo Vallecano
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

23.6%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

24.5%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rayo Vallecano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rayo Vallecano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	22.2%	22.2%

Fenerbahçe - Rayo Vallecano Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fenerbahçe: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Fenerbahçe is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rayo Vallecano is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fenerbahçe
Turkish Super League
12.11.22	Fenerbahçe - Giresunspor	1:2 ✺
07.11.22	Fenerbahçe - Sivasspor	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
03.11.22	Dynamo Kyiv - Fenerbahçe	0:2 ✺
Turkish Super League
30.10.22	İstanbulspor - Fenerbahçe	2:5 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.10.22	Fenerbahçe - Rennes	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWWT
- Rayo Vallecano
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.11.22	Mollerussa - Rayo Vallecano	1:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
10.11.22	Rayo Vallecano - Celta de Vigo	0:0 ✺
07.11.22	Rayo Vallecano - Real Madrid	3:2 ✺
29.10.22	Sevilla - Rayo Vallecano	0:1 ✺
22.10.22	Rayo Vallecano - Cádiz	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.3 WTWWW

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