The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fenerbahçe 47.9%
Draw 26.8%
Sevilla 25.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.7%
28.3%
35%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.4%
28.5%
35.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fenerbahçe's performance.
Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sevilla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (-11.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fenerbahçe that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (+10%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sevilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
67.7%
11.5%
20.8%
Fenerbahçe - Sevilla Predictions
Users Predictions:
96 users predict this event. Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 65 - 67.7%). Sevilla will win (votes: 20 - 20.8%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 11.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Fenerbahçe: 58.3% – 77.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Fenerbahçe has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, a chance of qtrs (19%), a small chance of semis (8%), a very small chance of final (3%), a very small chance of win league (1%).
Sevilla has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, a good chance of qtrs (81%), a chance of semis (31%), a small chance of final (11%), a very small chance of win league (4%).
This event has quality67, big importance81, big match rating74. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Fenerbahçe is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Sevilla is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Fenerbahçe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Fenerbahçe will have a poor advantage in this game.
There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Lincoln
(Injury)
Luan Peres
(Muscle Injury)
Sangare N.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Sevilla: Gueye P.
(Inactive)
Marcao
(Muscle Injury)
Papu Gomez
(Ankle Injury)
Rekik K.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Last 2 head-to-head matches Fenerbahçe won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Fenerbahçe won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
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