Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA - ROUND 7

Date: 26 September 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán (Sevilla)

Referee: Cuadra G. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Optus Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Brazil	ESPN 3
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Cyprus	PrimeTel
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	CMore Sport
France	beIN Sports
Greece	Nova Sports
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Romania	Prima Sport 2
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
International	Setanta Sports Eurasia


	Sevilla		Almería

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.8	5.25	Watch
	1.7	4	5	Watch
	1.69	4	5
	1.69	4.04	5.3
	1.62	4	5
	1.68	4.1	4.9	Watch
	1.7	4.1	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.51)	4.01 ↓ (4.39)	5.09 ↓ (6.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sevilla
57.2%

Draw
24%

Almería
18.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.8%

21.6%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

16.9%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sevilla's form might have worsened.

Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sevilla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.3%	3.8%	4.8%

Sevilla - Almería Predictions

Users Predictions: Sevilla will win (95 of 104 users predict this - 91.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.95% – 96.75%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Nyland O. (G) 16. Navas J. (C) 22. Bade L. 6. Gudelj N. 3. Pedrosa A. 20. Fernando 18. Sow D. 7. Suso 17. Lamela E. 11. Lukebakio D. 15. En Nesyri Y.	25. Maximiano L. (G) 17. Pozo A. 22. Montes C. 3. Gonzalez E. 20. Centelles A. 4. Baba I. 6. Lopy D. 19. Arribas S. 11. Melero G. (C) 9. Suarez L. 23. Kone I.
Substitutes
1. Dmitrovic M. (G) 31. Flores A. (G) 2. Gattoni F. 25. Januzaj A. 8. Jordan J. 9. Mir R. 5. Ocampos L. 10. Rakitic I. 4. Ramos S. 27. Salas K. 26. Sanchez J. 24. Soumare B.	15. Akieme S. 21. Chumi 10. Embarba A. 2. Kaiky 14. Lazaro 12. Leo Baptistao 1. Marino D. (G) 13. Martinez F. (G) 24. Mendes H. 29. Milovanovic M. 8. Puigmal A. 7. Ramazani L.
Coaches
Mendilibar J. L.	Moreno V.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sevilla won 4.

Recent matches Sevilla is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Almería is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Almería could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sevilla is a favorite.

There will not play in Sevilla: Diaz M. (Muscle Injury) Vacas A. P. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Almería: Svidersky M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Sevilla: Acuna M. (Hamstring Injury) Marcao (Muscle Injury) Navas J. (Injury) Nianzou T. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Almería: Pozo A. (Injury) Pubill M. (Injury) Robertone L. (Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Sevilla won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Sevilla won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sevilla FC
Spanish LaLiga
23.09.23	Osasuna - Sevilla	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.09.23	Sevilla - Lens	1:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
17.09.23	Sevilla - Las Palmas	1:0 ✺
26.08.23	Sevilla - Girona	1:2 ✺
21.08.23	Deportivo Alavés - Sevilla	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TTWLL
- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga
23.09.23	Almería - Valencia	2:2 ✺
17.09.23	Villarreal - Almería	2:1 ✺
01.09.23	Almería - Celta de Vigo	2:3 ✺
26.08.23	Cádiz - Almería	1:1 ✺
19.08.23	Almería - Real Madrid	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
12.03.23	Sevilla - Almería	2:1
27.08.22	Almería - Sevilla	2:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.02.21	Almería - Sevilla	0:1
Spanish LaLiga
17.05.15	Sevilla - Almería	2:1
11.01.15	Almería - Sevilla	0:2
09.03.14	Almería - Sevilla	1:3
Club Friendly
14.11.13	Sevilla - Almería	1:1

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