Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 2

Date: 3 October 2023, Tuesday

Location: Philips Stadion (Eindhoven)

Referee: Orsato D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Denmark	Viaplay
France	beIN Sports Max
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	TV4


	PSV Eindhoven		Sevilla

	1	X	2
	1.83	4	4
	1.87	3.8	3.9
	1.85	4	4	Watch
	1.88	3.8	3.8
	1.88	3.98	4.15
	1.83	3.9	3.9
	1.86	3.96	3.95
	1.88	4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.93)	3.93 ↑ (3.59)	3.96 ↑ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PSV Eindhoven
51.5%

Draw
24.4%

Sevilla
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

26.2%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

26%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PSV Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	13.9%	9.3%

PSV Eindhoven - Sevilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 108 users predict this event. PSV will win (votes: 83 - 76.9%). Sevilla will win (votes: 10 - 9.3%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 13.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSV: 69% – 84.8%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Benitez W. (G) 3. Teze J. 5. Ramalho A. 18. Boscagli O. 8. Dest S. 10. Tillman M. 22. Schouten J. 23. Veerman J. 11. Bakayoko J. 9. de Jong L. (C) 7. Lang N.	13. Nyland O. (G) 16. Navas J. (C) 6. Gudelj N. 4. Ramos S. 3. Pedrosa A. 20. Fernando 10. Rakitic I. 5. Ocampos L. 7. Suso 11. Lukebakio D. 15. En Nesyri Y.
Substitutes
6. Bella-Kotchap A. 16. Drommel J. (G) 27. Lozano H. 14. Pepi R. 34. Saibari I. 2. Sambo S. 20. Til G. 30. van Aanholt P. 32. Vertessen Y. 24. Waterman B. (G)	19. Acuna M. 22. Bade L. 12. Diaz M. 1. Dmitrovic M. (G) 31. Flores A. (G) 2. Gattoni F. 8. Jordan J. 9. Mir R. 26. Sanchez J. 24. Soumare B. 18. Sow D. 21. Torres O.
Coaches
Bosz P.	Mendilibar J. L.

Preview

PSV is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Sevilla is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sevilla could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match PSV is a favorite.

There will not play in PSV: Mauro Junior (Knee Injury) Obispo A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Sevilla: Lamela E. (Injury) Marcao (Muscle Injury) Nianzou T. (Knee Injury) Vacas A. P. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in PSV: Babadi I. (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches PSV won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams PSV won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PSV Eindhoven
Dutch Eredivisie
30.09.23	PSV Eindhoven - Volendam	3:1 ✺
27.09.23	PSV Eindhoven - Go Ahead Eagles	3:0 ✺
23.09.23	Almere City - PSV Eindhoven	0:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.09.23	Arsenal - PSV Eindhoven	4:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
16.09.23	PSV Eindhoven - NEC Nijmegen	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWWLW
- Sevilla FC
Spanish LaLiga
29.09.23	Barcelona - Sevilla	1:0 ✺
26.09.23	Sevilla - Almería	5:1 ✺
23.09.23	Osasuna - Sevilla	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.09.23	Sevilla - Lens	1:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
17.09.23	Sevilla - Las Palmas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
23.02.23	PSV Eindhoven - Sevilla	2:0
16.02.23	Sevilla - PSV Eindhoven	3:0

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