Match Info

UKRAINE: Persha Liga - Promotion Group - Round 8

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday


	Feniks-Mariupol		Karpaty Lviv

	1	X	2
	6	3.6	1.49
	6.24	3.76	1.53
	6.2	3.7	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.15 ↑ (5.48)	3.69 ↑ (3.66)	1.51 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Feniks-Mariupol
14.8%

Draw
24.7%

Karpaty Lviv
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.9%

25.3%

57.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.9%

25.3%

57.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Feniks-Mariupol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Karpaty Lviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Feniks-Mariupol than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karpaty Lviv than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Karavashchenko l. (G) 29. Fateev D. 20. Kharzhevskyi P. 6. Mochevinskiy I. (C) 22. Plaksa R. 39. Pudy D. 88. Savin A. 38. Shushko P. 3. Terekhov A. 99. Zadoya E. 98. Zubkov I.	1. Kozhukhar A. (G) 4. Baboglo V. 8. Chachua A. (C) 71. Chekh M. 14. Khasa J. 19. Klymenko V. 2. Mizyuk O. 10. Neves I. 7. Pidlepenets E. 28. Polegenko P. 44. Sakiv T.
Substitutes
10. Batalskiy O. 34. Bulgakov Y. 9. Goshkoderya V. 1. Kravtsov P. (G) 33. Malaki O. 21. Mnyshenko Y. 11. Oliynyk D. 18. Petrovskyi B. 4. Serhiyovych Zhovtenko O. 12. Yakubenko M. (G) 5. Zubkov M.	17. Demchenko Y. 38. Fetko O. 31. Ilyushchenkov O. (G) 32. Kozik E. 16. Ryabov A. 27. Sukhar T. 35. Sydun V. 9. Tlumak Y. 22. Veklyak B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Klymenko V. ⚽,
33', Kharzhevskyi P. 🟨,
37', Sakiv T. ↓, Kozik E. ↑,
42', Pudy D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Pudy D. ↓, Petrovskyi B. ↑,
49', Mizyuk O. 🟨,
49', Shushko P. 🟨,
55', Zadoya E. ↓, Bulgakov Y. ↑,
60', Chekh M. 🟨,
67', Mochevinskiy I. ↓, Mnyshenko Y. ↑,
71', Pidlepenets E. ↓, Tlumak Y. ↑,
71', Chekh M. ↓, Ryabov A. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Savin A. ⚽,
80', Neves I. ↓, Sydun V. ↑,
80', Klymenko V. ↓, Demchenko Y. ↑,
82', Bulgakov Y. 🟨,
88', Fateev D. ↓, Malaki O. ↑,
88', Savin A. ↓, Batalskiy O. ↑,
89', 1 - 2, Tlumak Y. ⚽,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

FSC Mariupol is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Karpaty is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Karpaty could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Karpaty is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches FSC Mariupol won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams FSC Mariupol won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Feniks-Mariupol
Ukrainian Persha Liga
04.05.24	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk - Feniks-Mariupol	1:0 ✺
28.04.24	Feniks-Mariupol - Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	0:1 ✺
20.04.24	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Feniks-Mariupol	1:1 ✺
12.04.24	Feniks-Mariupol - Kudrivka	0:0 ✺
06.04.24	Karpaty Lviv - Feniks-Mariupol	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTTL
- Karpaty Lviv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
03.05.24	Viktoriya Sumy - Karpaty Lviv	0:0 ✺
27.04.24	Poltava - Karpaty Lviv	0:1 ✺
19.04.24	Karpaty Lviv - Inhulets	1:2 ✺
12.04.24	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Karpaty Lviv	0:1 ✺
06.04.24	Karpaty Lviv - Feniks-Mariupol	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
06.04.24	Karpaty Lviv - Feniks-Mariupol	3:1
16.10.22	Feniks-Mariupol - Karpaty Lviv	1:1

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