Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 17

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: MCS Rukh (Ivano-Frankivsk)


	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk		Feniks-Mariupol

	1	X	2
	2.42	2.88	3
	1.87	3.22	4.13	Watch
	2.45	2.88	2.9
	1.83	3.23	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.88)	3.05 ↓ (3.32)	3.53 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk
43.3%

Draw
30.4%

Feniks-Mariupol
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

27.4%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

28.7%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk's form might have worsened.

Feniks-Mariupol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Feniks-Mariupol than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Prykarpattia Ivano Frankivsk - Feniks Mariupol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Bobynets A. (G) 99. Bespalko Y. 27. Chushenko V. 23. Demkiv S. 3. Frantsuz V. 9. Khoma A. 21. Mykhalchuk P. 7. Radulsky Y. 30. Shvets S. 10. Solovyov M. 2. Zhmuyda O.	1. Zhupanskyi V. (G) 39. Balan D. 90. Bogdanov A. 10. Gagun R. 25. Gorin V. 44. Koreshkov V. 77. Kovalyuk R. 84. Kusyi A. 29. Remenyak A. 33. Sydorenko V. 19. Vilkhovyi A.
Substitutes
71. Barasyuk S. (G) 90. Barchuk R. 34. Genyk V. 20. Makotyak D. 88. Protsiv M. 22. Prykhodko N. 69. Romanov S. 11. Trofymyuk M. 14. Tsyutsyura V. 4. Tytov D.	14. Bilyi R. 4. Boldenkov V. 11. Buryak R. 66. Melnyk O. 7. Nepeypiev R. 9. Nych N. 8. Panchyshyn O. 16. Radchenko M. 13. Rogachov N. 21. Tkachuk A. 17. Yanchak V. 55. Zadereyko A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 13 in the zone Persha Liga (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Prykarpattia won 3.

Prykarpattia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Feniks-Mariupol is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Prykarpattia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Prykarpattia is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Prykarpattia won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Prykarpattia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk
Ukrainian Persha Liga
16.11.25	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk - Viktoriya Sumy	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk - Probiy Horodenka	1:0 ✺
03.11.25	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk	3:1 ✺
25.10.25	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk - Inhulets	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWLLW
- Feniks-Mariupol
Ukrainian Persha Liga
16.11.25	Feniks-Mariupol - Vorskla Poltava	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Viktoriya Sumy - Feniks-Mariupol	1:2 ✺
04.11.25	Feniks-Mariupol - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	0:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
30.10.25	Ahrotekh Tyshkivka - Feniks-Mariupol	1:2 penalties ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
25.10.25	Probiy Horodenka - Feniks-Mariupol	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
11.08.25	Feniks-Mariupol - Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk	0:2
03.05.25	Feniks-Mariupol - Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk	2:3
30.03.25	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk - Feniks-Mariupol	0:0
04.05.24	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk - Feniks-Mariupol	1:0
29.03.24	Feniks-Mariupol - Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk	1:1
23.10.22	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk - Feniks-Mariupol	2:2
02.09.22	Feniks-Mariupol - Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk	1:1

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