Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 14

Date: 4 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: Kolos Stadium (Kovalivka)


	Feniks-Mariupol		Podillya Khmelnytskyi

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.98	3.3
	2.19	3.00	3.31	Watch
	2.18	2.9	3.38
	2.14	2.9	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.05)	2.95 ↓ (3.15)	3.33 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Feniks-Mariupol
41.8%

Draw
30.9%

Podillya Khmelnytskyi
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

29%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

28.6%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Feniks-Mariupol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Podillya Khmelnytskyi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Feniks-Mariupol than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podillya Khmelnytskyi than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Feniks Mariupol - Podillya Khmelnytskyi Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Podillya (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Podillya (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zhupanskyi V. (G) 39. Balan D. 90. Bogdanov A. 10. Gagun R. 44. Koreshkov V. 84. Kusyi A. 32. Petko S. (C) 29. Remenyak A. 33. Sydorenko V. 19. Vilkhovyi A. 17. Yanchak V.	98. Ponomarenko I. (G) 88. Baran R. 10. Kulish M. 7. Kvasov Y. 5. Lys N. 20. Nikolyshyn O. 21. Rudyuk V. 2. Savchuk P. 35. Savin A. (C) 27. Serbinov D. 19. Shkinder V.
Substitutes
11. Buryak R. 25. Gorin V. 77. Kovalyuk R. 66. Melnyk O. 7. Nepeypiev R. 20. Orobets I. 8. Panchyshyn O. 16. Radchenko M. 15. Revakovych R. 13. Rogachov N. 21. Tkachuk A. 55. Zadereyko A. (G)	18. Azizov D. 9. Gemega V. 99. Kondratyuk J. (G) 17. Kozyrenko Y. 13. Profatilo Y. 6. Serafimov O. 23. Shavrin V. 77. Snizhko O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Serbinov D. ⚽,
27', Savchuk P. 🟨,
39', Kulish M. ↓, Azizov D. ↑,
45', Kvasov Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Savchuk P. 🟨,
51', Koreshkov V. 🟨,
57', Yanchak V. ↓, Kovalyuk R. ↑,
57', Ponomarenko I. 🟨,
68', Vilkhovyi A. ↓, Buryak R. ↑,
69', Baran R. ↓, Snizhko O. ↑,
79', Sydorenko V. ↓, Orobets I. ↑,
79', Bogdanov A. ↓, Tkachuk A. ↑,
79', Petko S. ↓, Gorin V. ↑,
84', Serbinov D. ↓, Gemega V. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Persha Liga (Relegation) and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Druha Liga).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Podillya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Feniks-Mariupol will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Feniks-Mariupol won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Feniks-Mariupol won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Feniks-Mariupol
Ukrainian Cup
30.10.25	Ahrotekh Tyshkivka - Feniks-Mariupol	1:2 penalties ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
25.10.25	Probiy Horodenka - Feniks-Mariupol	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Feniks-Mariupol - Nyva Ternopil	0:2 ✺
14.10.25	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Feniks-Mariupol	1:0 ✺
09.10.25	Feniks-Mariupol - Metalist Kharkiv	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTLLL
- Podillya Khmelnytskyi
Ukrainian Persha Liga
24.10.25	Nyva Ternopil - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Metalist Kharkiv	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	2:0 ✺
08.10.25	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Chernihiv - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
17.05.25	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Feniks-Mariupol	1:2
13.04.25	Feniks-Mariupol - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	0:2

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