Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 19

Date: 26 December 2023, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Leonardo Garilli (Piacenza)

Referee: Manedo Mazzoni E. (Ita)


	FeralpiSalò		Venezia

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.1	2.1	Watch
	3.6	3.2	2.1
	3.6	3.2	2.1	Watch
	4.04	3.3	2.17
	4.04	3.24	2.12
	3.6	3.2	2
	3.95	3.16	2.03	Watch
	3.65	3.15	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↓ (4.37)	3.19 ↓ (3.24)	2.09 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FeralpiSalò
25%

Draw
29.7%

Venezia
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

28.5%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

27.8%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FeralpiSalò has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Venezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FeralpiSalò than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Venezia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.3%	21.1%	73.7%

FeralpiSalò - Venezia Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. FeralpiSalò will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). Venezia will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Venezia: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pizzignacco S. (G) 8. Balestrero D. (C) 23. Ceppitelli L. 87. Martella B. 66. Bergonzi F. 39. Kourfalidis C. 16. Fiordilino L. 10. Di Molfetta D. 97. Felici M. 14. Compagnon M. 9. Butic K.	1. Joronen J. (G) 27. Candela A. 15. Altare G. 33. Sverko M. 7. Zampano F. 6. Busio G. 8. Tessmann T. 77. Ellertsson M. E. 19. Bjarkason B. 20. Pohjanpalo J. 17. Johnsen D.
Substitutes
31. Camporese M. 27. Hergheligiu D. 91. La Mantia A. 94. Letizia G. 34. Minelli S. (G) 70. Parigini V. 99. Pietrelli A. 19. Pilati A. 25. Sau M. 3. Tonetto M. 61. Volpe G. (G) 20. Zennaro M.	38. Andersen M. K. 12. Bruno (G) 21. Cheryshev D. 25. Dembele A. 23. Grandi M. (G) 9. Gytkjaer C. 18. Jajalo M. 24. Lella N. 13. Modolo M. 10. Pierini N. 30. Svoboda M. 31. Ullmann M.
Coaches
Zaffaroni M.	Vanoli P.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches FeralpiSalò won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Venezia is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches FeralpiSalò won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams FeralpiSalò won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FeralpiSalò
Italian Serie B
23.12.23	Sampdoria - FeralpiSalò	2:3 ✺
16.12.23	FeralpiSalò - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
09.12.23	Ternana - FeralpiSalò	2:1 ✺
02.12.23	FeralpiSalò - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
25.11.23	Como - FeralpiSalò	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 WWLLL
- Venezia FC
Italian Serie B
23.12.23	Venezia - Lecco	2:2 ✺
16.12.23	Venezia - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:3 ✺
09.12.23	Cremonese - Venezia	1:0 ✺
02.12.23	Venezia - Ascoli	3:1 ✺
25.11.23	Bari - Venezia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
05.04.17	Venezia - FeralpiSalò	1:0
19.11.16	FeralpiSalò - Venezia	0:1
Italian Serie C Group A
13.02.15	FeralpiSalò - Venezia	2:1
27.09.14	Venezia - FeralpiSalò	4:1
Italian Lega Pro C1/A
05.01.14	Venezia - FeralpiSalò	0:1
01.09.13	FeralpiSalò - Venezia	2:0

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