Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 7

Date: 30 September 2024, Monday

Location: Stadio Mario Rigamonti (Brescia)

Referee: Ayroldi G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Brescia		Cremonese

	1	X	2
	3.2	3	2.45	Watch
	3.1	2.95	2.4
	2.9	2.9	2.65	Watch
	3.26	3.05	2.5
	3.2	2.99	2.48	Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.45
	3.12	3.1	2.44	Watch
	2.9	2.9	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.67)	3 ↓ (3.22)	2.5 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brescia
30.7%

Draw
31.5%

Cremonese
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

29.3%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

30.4%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Cremonese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brescia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	53.8%	38.5%

Brescia - Cremonese Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Brescia will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Cremonese will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lezzerini L. (G) 15. Cistana A. 28. Adorni D. 18. Jallow A. 24. Dickmann L. 25. Bisoli D. (C) 6. Verreth M. 27. Olzer G. 39. Besaggio M. 7. Juric A. 29. Borrelli G.	1. Fulignati A. (C) 26. Antov V. 42. Moretti L. 15. Bianchetti M. 98. Zanimacchia L. 20. Vazquez F. 37. Majer Z. 18. Collocolo M. 17. Sernicola L. 99. Nasti M. 11. Johnsen D.
Substitutes
22. Andrenacci L. (G) 26. Bertagnoli M. 9. Bianchi F. 8. Bjarnason B. 16. Buhagiar T. 5. Calvani G. 19. Corrado N. 21. Fogliata R. 11. Moncini G. 20. Nuamah P. 4. Paghera F. 32. Papetti A.	4. Barbieri T. 90. Bonazzoli F. 10. Buonaiuto C. 23. Ceccherini F. 9. De Luca M. 22. Jungdal A. (G) 62. Milanese T. 6. Pickel C. 3. Quagliata G. 21. Saro G. (G) 27. Vandeputte J.
Coaches
Maran R.	Stroppa G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Besaggio M. ⚽,
13', Cistana A. 🟨,
34', 2 - 0, Borrelli G. ⚽,
36', Johnsen D. 🟨,
38', Nasti M. 🟨,
39', 3 - 0, Verreth M. ⚽,
42', Juric A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Vazquez F. ↓, Vandeputte J. ↑,
46', Johnsen D. ↓, De Luca M. ↑,
61', Juric A. ↓, Moncini G. ↑,
61', Olzer G. ↓, Bertagnoli M. ↑,
67', Sernicola L. ↓, Barbieri T. ↑,
71', 3 - 1, Nasti M. ⚽, Vandeputte J. (A),
71', Zanimacchia L. ↓, Buonaiuto C. ↑,
71', Majer Z. ↓, Pickel C. ↑,
74', Besaggio M. ↓, Corrado N. ↑,
81', 3 - 2, Buonaiuto C. ⚽,
86', Vandeputte J. 🟨,
86', Verreth M. 🟨,
87', Borrelli G. ↓, Nuamah P. ↑,
90+6', Dickmann L. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brescia won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Brescia have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Brescia won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Brescia won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-8.

Last Results with these Odds

Brescia - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 35.31%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brescia Calcio
Coppa Italia
26.09.24	Monza - Brescia	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie B
21.09.24	Pisa - Brescia	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Brescia - Frosinone	4:0 ✺
31.08.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Brescia	1:2 ✺
27.08.24	Reggiana - Brescia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LLWWL
- US Cremonese
Coppa Italia
24.09.24	Cagliari - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie B
20.09.24	Catanzaro - Cremonese	1:2 ✺
14.09.24	Cremonese - Spezia	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Sassuolo - Cremonese	1:4 ✺
27.08.24	Cremonese - Palermo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
27.01.24	Cremonese - Brescia	1:0
12.11.23	Brescia - Cremonese	0:3
05.03.22	Cremonese - Brescia	2:1
23.10.21	Brescia - Cremonese	1:0
20.02.21	Brescia - Cremonese	1:2
08.12.20	Cremonese - Brescia	2:2
04.05.19	Cremonese - Brescia	0:0

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