Match Info

Serie B - Play Offs - Final

Date: 29 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Stadio Giovanni Zini (Cremona)

Referee: Pairetto L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Italy	DAZN Italia
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Switzerland	Blue Zoom
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus


	Cremonese		Spezia

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.25	4	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3.25
	2.02	3.2	3.8	Watch
	2.02	3.28	4.21
	2.02	3.27	4.03	Watch
	2.3	3	3.2
	1.98	3.29	4.05	Watch
	2.02	3.2	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.65)	3.2 ↑ (3.1)	3.79 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cremonese
45.6%

Draw
29.5%

Spezia
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

29.9%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

29.8%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cremonese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cremonese's performance.

Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Spezia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cremonese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spezia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.1%	22.2%	16.7%

Cremonese - Spezia Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Cremonese will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Spezia will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cremonese: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Cremonese (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Spezia (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

DC - Cremonese (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Cremonese (votes: 4 - 50%). Spezia (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fulignati A. (G) 55. Folino F. 23. Ceccherini F. 26. Antov V. 4. Barbieri T. 18. Collocolo M. 19. Castagnetti M. (C) 27. Vandeputte J. 7. Azzi P. 20. Vazquez F. 11. Johnsen D.	66. Gori S. (G) 2. Wisniewski P. 55. Hristov P. (C) 37. Mateju A. 7. Elia S. 29. Cassata F. 8. Nagy A. 25. Bandinelli F. 31. Aurelio G. 9. Esposito F. 20. Di Serio G.
Substitutes
90. Bonazzoli F. 9. De Luca M. 12. Drago G. (G) 14. Gelli F. 37. Majer Z. 42. Moretti L. 99. Nasti M. 6. Pickel C. 30. Tannander J. (G) 8. Valoti M. 98. Zanimacchia L.	44. Benvenuto M. 36. Candelari P. 23. Chichizola L. (G) 17. Colak A. 82. Djankpata H. 5. Esposito Sa. 11. Falcinelli D. 4. Ferrer S. 65. Giorgeschi S. 80. Kouda R. 10. Lapadula G. 13. Reca A.
Coaches
Stroppa G.	D'Angelo L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Antov V. 🟨,
26', Azzi P. 🟨,
36', Castagnetti M. ↓, Gelli F. ↑,
45', Nagy A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Bandinelli F. 🟨,
57', Vandeputte J. ↓, De Luca M. ↑,
59', Cassata F. 🟨,
70', Di Serio G. ↓, Kouda R. ↑,
70', Bandinelli F. ↓, Esposito Sa. ↑,
73', Collocolo M. 🟨,
75', Barbieri T. ↓, Zanimacchia L. ↑,
76', Azzi P. ↓, Pickel C. ↑,
76', Vazquez F. ↓, Valoti M. ↑,
84', Cassata F. ↓, Reca A. ↑,
84', Aurelio G. ↓, Falcinelli D. ↑,
90+3', Pickel C. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cremonese won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Cremonese will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Cremonese: Saro G. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Spezia: Bertola N. (Muscle Injury) Degli Innocenti D. (Injury) Sarr M. (Shoulder Injury) Soleri E. (Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Cremonese won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Cremonese won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 1.5:0.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Cremonese
Italian Serie B
25.05.25	Cremonese - Juve Stabia	3:0 ✺
21.05.25	Juve Stabia - Cremonese	2:1 ✺
13.05.25	Pisa - Cremonese	2:1 ✺
09.05.25	Spezia - Cremonese	2:3 ✺
04.05.25	Cremonese - Sassuolo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLWT
- Spezia Calcio
Italian Serie B
25.05.25	Spezia - Catanzaro	2:1 ✺
21.05.25	Catanzaro - Spezia	0:2 ✺
13.05.25	Spezia - Nuova Cosenza	3:1 ✺
09.05.25	Spezia - Cremonese	2:3 ✺
04.05.25	Reggiana - Spezia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
09.05.25	Spezia - Cremonese	2:3
14.09.24	Cremonese - Spezia	1:1
20.01.24	Spezia - Cremonese	0:1
05.11.23	Cremonese - Spezia	3:0
Italian Serie A
06.05.23	Cremonese - Spezia	2:0
16.10.22	Spezia - Cremonese	2:2
Italian Serie B
24.07.20	Cremonese - Spezia	0:0

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